absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[MasterJedi]

Young latino women are turning out in massive numbers in Arizona. It's really astonishing that the latino percentage among the early voters in Arizona has doubled from 6% to 12% in only 4 years! 12% is still a low number of course, so more work will have to be done in order to register, engage an organize the latino population there in the next 4-8 years. Battleground Arizona anyone?

If minorities were ever to vote in the same number as whites then Republicans would never be elected again until some type of policy shift/some other type of shift happens.

[MasterJedi]

In my village this is what the voting site says:

In Person Absentee Voting starts October 24 - November 2 from 8 a.m.-4:30 p.m. & November 3 & 4 from 8 a.m.-5 p.m.

[MasterJedi]

Yeah, don't piss off Latinos and Nev-ah-da voters:

https://twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/794753441750872064

Beautiful scene!

[MasterJedi]

Sorry to burst your red avatar orgy here, but here's the reality on CO right now. Republicans pulled ahead with Early voters.

http://kdvr.com/2016/11/04/republicans-overtake-democrats-in-early-voting/

You are also way, way, way off on Nevada this week. I don't care about alleged L2 data. The raw numbers suggest overwhelmingly that the Republicans have made significant inroads on the early vote vs. 2012, erasing a 8% deficit from 2012 to about 3.5% this year. Keep in mind, they already shaved a point off of the D margin from 2012 in Week 1.

2016: http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
2012: http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=2503

That's some filthy dog sweat kiddo. It's the weekend now, that R lead will be erased and it needs to be R+7 for Trump to have even a shot.

[MasterJedi]

Sorry to burst your red avatar orgy here, but here's the reality on CO right now. Republicans pulled ahead with Early voters.

http://kdvr.com/2016/11/04/republicans-overtake-democrats-in-early-voting/

You are also way, way, way off on Nevada this week. I don't care about alleged L2 data. The raw numbers suggest overwhelmingly that the Republicans have made significant inroads on the early vote vs. 2012, erasing a 8% deficit from 2012 to about 3.5% this year. Keep in mind, they already shaved a point off of the D margin from 2012 in Week 1.

2016: http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
2012: http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=2503

That's some filthy dog sweat kiddo. It's the weekend now, that R lead will be erased and it needs to be R+7 for Trump to have even a shot.

Not when indy's are factored in (they're up significantly) and we haven't even gotten to the Election Day vote yet, which will trend Republican. To think that "it's over" at this point is laughable.

You have 4 days left until you disappear for at least 2 years and try to pull the same thing again. You better live it up because your fuhrer is almost done.

[MasterJedi]

Sorry to burst your red avatar orgy here, but here's the reality on CO right now. Republicans pulled ahead with Early voters. Magellan may be a questionable pollster, but they are usually good about releasing the Early Vote stuff in CO ahead of the SoS.

Romney won early vote by 2 in CO. He lost the state by five points. In being tied, Trump is doing worse than Romney already.

Apples-to-apples, which I'll be able to do tomorrow, by your metric, Trump should be "ahead" by 5 or 6 points then in CO. Nevada has moved to the right with the early vote as compared to 2016.

And to you other folks "gleeful" right now about Nevada, Trump's not deviating 3,000 miles out of his way tomorrow to have a rally in Reno by accident. If it were "over" there as you claim it is, he would have picked Michigan or another closer East Coast state to campaign in.

I'm surprised you get internet reception in the bunker. Won't matter in a few days though. Your dear Führer is finished.

Such tolerant people on this website. 100% Grade A human beings, labeling someone a Nazi. Keep it classy.

You support the actual Nazi, you reap what you sow.

[MasterJedi]

2012
- 11 percent Latino
- 77 percent white

2016
-- 13. 5 percent Latino
--77 percent white

Is it not a relatively good news for Reps?

Latino increase vs black/other decrease. Black vote more heavily for Dems than any other group?

Not when Trump loses white women/educated whites.

[MasterJedi]

Daniel A. Smith wrote something up on cannibalizing the vote in FL:

https://electionsmith.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/on-cannibalizing-the-vote-in-florida-heres-some-data-natesilver538-nate_cohn-to-work-into-your-models/

This is very important.

I think turnout will be huge this year so I think it's just a lot more people coming out in general, not so much cannibalizing.

[MasterJedi]

now the NC GOP adds insult to injury and brags about their suppression victory.


https://twitter.com/RaleighReporter/status/795669824135430145



record numbers in MN

http://www.twincities.com/2016/11/07/wowsa-a-record-busting-568196-ballots-already-accepted-in-minnesota/

Yup, Trump takes NC because R's suppressed early voting for AA. Was a must win state for Trump. Looking good there.

You're disgusting.

[MasterJedi]

now the NC GOP adds insult to injury and brags about their suppression victory.


https://twitter.com/RaleighReporter/status/795669824135430145



record numbers in MN

http://www.twincities.com/2016/11/07/wowsa-a-record-busting-568196-ballots-already-accepted-in-minnesota/

Yup, Trump takes NC because R's suppressed early voting for AA. Was a must win state for Trump. Looking good there.

Disgusting and un-American. You should be ashamed of yourself. Don't worry. The educated vote will swing and AAs will turn out on ED. You will lose the state despite your nasty celebration.

Call it what you want but anyone who wants can show up and vote tomorrow who is a citizen. Trump will carry NC tomorrow and win the election, prepare for depression to set in around 11 PM tomorrow night hehe

There's a special place in hell for people like you.

Don't worry, the deplorable racists like him and Seriously? will be gone after tomorrow and only return in 2018/2020 having learned nothing.