Wisconsin Megathread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 11, 2024, 03:06:39 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Wisconsin Megathread (search mode)
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6]
Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread  (Read 290629 times)
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #125 on: April 10, 2018, 10:44:25 AM »

Who’s the likeliest LG choice for Dems?

If the governor's race is wide open that's even wider. I would personally like to see Evers/Vinehout or Evers/Mitchell.

Evers/Vinehout sounds great to me. Evers/Mitchell would also work. Are you now on Team Evers? Cheesy

I was always on his team or team Vinehout, he's looking like the stronger option so I will go there. Still like Vinehout though.

I'll take it! I'll be campaigning for him later on.

That means that Vinehout or Mitchell would have to refile to run in LG primary. As of now it's Mandela Barns and 3 people I've never heard of running for LG.


I imagine as we get closer there will be a few that drop out because they know they aren't going anywhere.

Filing deadline is June 1, I agree and hope that a few of the mid-level candidates dropdown.

Can we at least fully get rid of Soglin?
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #126 on: April 10, 2018, 10:48:28 AM »

Who’s the likeliest LG choice for Dems?

If the governor's race is wide open that's even wider. I would personally like to see Evers/Vinehout or Evers/Mitchell.

Evers/Vinehout sounds great to me. Evers/Mitchell would also work. Are you now on Team Evers? Cheesy

I was always on his team or team Vinehout, he's looking like the stronger option so I will go there. Still like Vinehout though.

I'll take it! I'll be campaigning for him later on.

That means that Vinehout or Mitchell would have to refile to run in LG primary. As of now it's Mandela Barns and 3 people I've never heard of running for LG.


I imagine as we get closer there will be a few that drop out because they know they aren't going anywhere.

Filing deadline is June 1, I agree and hope that a few of the mid-level candidates dropdown.

Can we at least fully get rid of Soglin?

Doubtful, what little polling we've had has suggested that he's running at #2.

Sad, he'd for sure make the race a lost cause.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #127 on: April 10, 2018, 01:07:54 PM »

Nominating someone heavily tied to the crime-infested "Chicago-lite" city of Milwaukee would be the Dems shooting themselves on the foot.

You sound like one of the suburbanites around the city who think it's like that.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #128 on: April 11, 2018, 08:29:43 AM »

Assuming Ryan’s retirement leads to a closer WI-01 race, and reduced morale, how much should Walker worry?

GOP should win WI-01, might be closer now. Walker should be very worried though.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #129 on: April 17, 2018, 03:24:52 PM »

Not comparable because a lot of these GOP seats (in the Assembly as well as the Senate) are held by incumbents, who will have an easier time holding on to their seats than Screnock winning an open one. This won't be the year to flip the trifecta. Also, with Walker on the top of the ballot, a lot of suburbanite conservative folks (especially in the South-East corner of the stater) who otherwise won't turn out, will. Assembly and Senate are both Likely R.

As said directly above, look at the map. What you said would have zero effect on flipping either since the flipped seats are nowhere close to those areas.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #130 on: April 17, 2018, 03:50:56 PM »

I was responding to the thought of flipping to a D trifecta as a whole...and gave reasons as to why Walker was winning Gov (his strength in the South East). That seemed to have been confused by people with my reasoning as to why Dems cannot win the gerrymandered legislature.

Considering every sign is pointing to him losing we are all still confused.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #131 on: April 17, 2018, 03:56:03 PM »

Report says Barrett eyeing another run for Governor. Hope not, can't take someone tied to Milwaukee or Madison right now. The swing voters have been frothed in anti-city rhetoric for years now.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #132 on: April 18, 2018, 09:12:24 AM »

Leave it to the Dems to shrink their tent by relying on Milwaukee to save the day. No wonder they are at a risk of turning Wisconsin to the next West Virginia.

Lol.

Also, theoretically we could rely on the ever-growing Dane County to dominate the whole state, but fortunately WI Dems have been doing well in rural areas as well.

If Milwaukee voted at the same level as Dane they could probably never have to rely on the rest of the state for anything.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #133 on: April 18, 2018, 09:14:00 AM »

Wisconsin legend and civil rights leader Vel Phillips passed away. Few of her accomplishments:

— 1st woman, 1st African American elected to Milwaukee Common Council
— 1st woman judge in Milwaukee County
— 1st African-American judge in WI
— 1st African American elected statewide in WI (Secertary of State)

Video on her life

Saw that this morning, RIP.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #134 on: April 18, 2018, 09:20:37 AM »

Leave it to the Dems to shrink their tent by relying on Milwaukee to save the day. No wonder they are at a risk of turning Wisconsin to the next West Virginia.

Lol.

Also, theoretically we could rely on the ever-growing Dane County to dominate the whole state, but fortunately WI Dems have been doing well in rural areas as well.



If Milwaukee voted at the same level as Dane they could probably never have to rely on the rest of the state for anything.

For every 1 lost in the Driftless, right? I don’t subscribe to the Chuck Schumer “winning” philosophy.

Would give the Dems an extra 200,000 voters which would buffer anything lost, so a 2016 election with 200,000 more Dem votes (almost all of them would be in the minority communities) is an easy win.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #135 on: April 18, 2018, 09:24:42 AM »

Leave it to the Dems to shrink their tent by relying on Milwaukee to save the day. No wonder they are at a risk of turning Wisconsin to the next West Virginia.

Lol.

Also, theoretically we could rely on the ever-growing Dane County to dominate the whole state, but fortunately WI Dems have been doing well in rural areas as well.



If Milwaukee voted at the same level as Dane they could probably never have to rely on the rest of the state for anything.

For every 1 lost in the Driftless, right? I don’t subscribe to the Chuck Schumer “winning” philosophy.

Would give the Dems an extra 200,000 voters which would buffer anything lost, so a 2016 election with 200,000 more Dem votes (almost all of them would be in the minority communities) is an easy win.

As nice as that would be, the legislature isn’t Milwaukee-based. The inner city cannot be the only place that matters.

Duh, it'll also never happen. I'm just pointing out that if the city voted like Dane they would never have to truly worry about Republican control again, they would also get a lot more seats with having that many more active voters which would help with the packing, gerrymander problem the Republicans have put into place.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #136 on: April 24, 2018, 07:40:29 AM »

Tom Barrett's goal in his life is to be Governor of Wisconsin.

However, I think Wisconsin's anti-Milwaukee sentiment might be a problem for Barrett.

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/19/we-havent-made-any-decisions-mayor-tom-barrett-confirms-hes-considering-another-run-governor/531393002/

Yes, the conservative country has really been brainwashed to think if they step foot in Milwaukee they'll be mugged, raped and then murdered.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #137 on: April 24, 2018, 10:57:16 AM »

This race is Likely Democratic, I don't understand why people consider this Republican-leaning.

By people who mean just Bronze and Hofoid.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #138 on: April 24, 2018, 10:58:28 AM »

Tom Barrett's goal in his life is to be Governor of Wisconsin.

However, I think Wisconsin's anti-Milwaukee sentiment might be a problem for Barrett.

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/19/we-havent-made-any-decisions-mayor-tom-barrett-confirms-hes-considering-another-run-governor/531393002/

Yes, the conservative country has really been brainwashed to think if they step foot in Milwaukee they'll be mugged, raped and then murdered.



Milwaukee does itself no favours in this department...

Yes, yes we know how you think. But unless you're involved in gang activity/actively using drugs and buying them or actively involved in the drug trade the chances of anything really happening to you is not that much. There was a surge of shootings the last two years that is coming down, but these aren't random people shooting each other.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #139 on: May 11, 2018, 08:20:49 AM »

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/local/milwaukee/2018/05/10/county-panel-endorses-marijuana-referendum-nov-6-ballot/591566002/

Posted it in the pot thread but looks like Milwaukee County will get legal marijuana soon.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #140 on: May 11, 2018, 12:42:19 PM »

Not sure how much we actually have to worry about Paul Soglin winning the nomination:



lmao he ain't even trying

His boomer entitlement, thinks he "deserves" the job.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #141 on: May 17, 2018, 02:54:10 PM »

Mitchell is screwed in the primary since his natural base in the city won't show up for a primary.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,789
United States


« Reply #142 on: May 22, 2018, 07:24:59 AM »

Mitchell would very likely energize black turnout in Milwaukee plus high turnout Madison is a good recipe for victory. Even if he loses to Walker it would be beneficial to Baldwin to have better turnout out of Milwaukee.

Good luck with that one.

I find it hard to believe black voters wouldn't be enthused at the chance to elect the first black Governor in Wisconsin. Also I'm supportive of more dynamic candidates winning primaries than old white guys because the party desperately need to build its bench. Mitchell should he win would be a star and would be a good candidate for other offices in the future.

Fair, but I'd rather elect someone with the best chance of winning. Besides, we could still have a young African-American on the ticket in Mandela Barnes, who's running for Lieutenant Governor.

It's not like Mandela Barnes isn't anything other than a Chris Larson puppet anyways.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.037 seconds with 10 queries.