How did Dewey almost win Philadelphia in 1948??!! (user search)
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  How did Dewey almost win Philadelphia in 1948??!! (search mode)
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Author Topic: How did Dewey almost win Philadelphia in 1948??!!  (Read 2014 times)
#CriminalizeSobriety
Dallasfan65
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,859


Political Matrix
E: 5.48, S: -9.65

« on: December 17, 2020, 12:15:42 PM »

Philadelphia voted Republican in the 1946 Gubernatorial and Senatorial elections, FWIW.
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#CriminalizeSobriety
Dallasfan65
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,859


Political Matrix
E: 5.48, S: -9.65

« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2020, 02:36:19 PM »

So comparing 1944 - 1948 - 1952 in Philly, 1948 stands out as oddly and exceptionally Republican.

Can anyone look at wards, precincts, etc.? Was Henry Wallace much of a factor? (Doesn't look like it). How did Black areas, Catholic areas, Jewish areas, etc. vote?  I have read that nationally Jewish vote went 75-10 for Truman and the Black vote over 80% for Truman; was Philly different?

For what it's worth, the opposite happened in Boston: Truman received 70% in Suffolk County, several points higher than FDR in 1944 or Stevenson in 1952.

Was it as simple as a Phillies - Cardinals tiff? Recall that Boston-area voters, in 1986, may have expressed their frustration over their World Series loss by voting against the state's seat belt law: Question 5 to retain the seat belt law lost with 53.7% No votes, with every Boston-area county voting No and most outstate counties voting Yes.

I looked at the data for Question 5 and the results aren't particularly anomalous. Western Mass always votes that way and Barnstable has a granola streak from time to time.
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