From my sad little thread:
Democratic Pickups:
1. NY-13 (open seat held by Vito Fossella - R)
2. NY-25 (open seat held by J.T. Walsh - R)
3. AZ-01 (open seat held by Rick Renzi - R)
4. OH-16 (open seat held by Ralph Regula - R)
5. FL-24 (Tom Feeney - R)
6. VA-11 (open seat held by Tom Davis - R)
7. IL-11 (open seat held by Jerry Weller - R)
8. OH-15 (open seat held by Deb Pryce - R)
9. MI-07 (Tim Walberg - R)
10. NC-08 (Robin Hayes - R)
11. AK-AL (Don Young - R)
12. CO-04 (Marilyn Musgrave - R)
13. MI-09 (Joe Knollenberg - R)
14. NM-01 (open seat held by Heather Wilson - R)
15. NV-03 (Jon Porter - R)
16. PA-03 (Phil English - R)
17. NJ-03 (open seat held by Jim Saxton - R)
18. NY-29 (Randy Kuhl - R)
19. FL-08 (Ric Keller - R)
20. MN-03 (open seat held by Jim Ramstad - R)
21. MN-06 (Michele Bachmann - R)
22. CT-04 (Chris Shays - R)
23. NM-02 (open seat held by Steve Pearce - R)
24. IL-10 (Mark Kirk - R)
25. CA-04 (open seat held by John Doolittle - R)
Possible Democratic Pickups:
26. OH-01 (Steve Chabot - R)
27. ID-01 (Bill Sali - R)
28. FL-21 (Lincoln Diaz-Balart - R)
29. WA-08 (Dave Reichert - R)
30. FL-25 (Mario Diaz-Balart - R)
31. NJ-07 (open seat held by Mike Ferguson - R)
32. AL-02 (open seat held by Terry Everett - R)
33. MD-01 (open seat held by Wayne Gilchrest - R)
34. MO-09 (open seat held by Kenny Hulshof - R)
35. VA-02 (Thelma Drake - R)
36. WY-AL (open seat held by Barbara Cubin - R)
37. IN-03 (Mark Souder - R)
38. KY-02 (open seat held by Ron Lewis - R)
39. AZ-03 (John Shadegg - R)
40. VA-05 (Virgil Goode - R)
41. IA-04 (Tom Latham - R)
42. NE-02 (Lee Terry - R)
43. SC-01 (Henry Brown - R)
Republican Pickups:
1. FL-16 (Tim Mahoney - D)
2. TX-22 (Nick Lampson - D)
3. PA-11 (Paul Kanjorski - D)
Possible Republican Pickups:
4. NH-01 (Carol Shea-Porter - D)
5. GA-08 (Jim Marshall - D)
6. PA-12 (Jack Murtha - D)
7. KS-02 (Nancy Boyda - D)
8. LA-06 (Don Cazayoux - D)
9. PA-10 (Chris Carney - D)
10. AL-05 (open seat held by Bud Cramer - D)
Net 22 gain for the Democrats. I'm not including LA-04, because it won't be decided till December.
Good list. I'd put PA-6 (Gerlach) as an upset possibility as well with Obama potentially doing well there. I wish we had a Mike Gerber or Andy Dinninman as our nominee. We definitely win in those cases.
PA could possiblr be the only state with a net GOP
GAIN when all's said and done thanks to our own party self-imploding (PA 11/12) and lack of aggression (PA 6).
