Counties in your state to swing from 2000 to 2004

[TeePee4Prez]

Pennsylvania:

Dem -> GOP

Carbon
Mercer
Lawrence
Greene
Cambria

GOP -> Dem

none, but we made significant gains in Chester which was virtually solid GOP now on the brink of becoming Dem.  We also fell 4 (not a typo) votes short in Monroe County, which NEVER went Dem since LBJ.  Montgomery and Delaware also had sizzling Democratic performance which was unprecedented.

[TeePee4Prez]

I'll say that Washington will go GOP next time around, but Luzerne is interesting to say the least.  You have an exurban trend which may tilt it Democratic, you still have Hazelton and Wilkes-Barre, but you also have a lot of social conservatives and that seems to be in fashion as of late for the GOP.  Luzerne and Carbon are strange animals to say the least.  I think Carbon could move back as well.

[TeePee4Prez]

Simply put, Luzerne County's Democratic organization is pitiful. The GOP ground game just obliterated them here. Now, if they can't get their act together and deliver a big (57-43+) victory here for Casey, the race will tighten a great deal.

I'll admit I'm a bit worried about organizations outside of Montgomery County.  The ones out western PA and Luzerne are just awful.  Someone told me they think they can't lose, so they just sit and wait.  Montgomery started from nothing the the early 1990s to a virtual juggernaut overnight.  They can't carry PA and it's making me nervous.  Philadelphia also needs better leadership in the Democratic party besides half-literate union guys, tavern owners, and party bosses.  PA is a tricky animal. 

[TeePee4Prez]

Monmouth and Salem counties went from Democrat to Republican.

Do you know why they switched? I was surprised that Monmouth did, but I guess it has a lot in common with Staten Island and Rockland County.

I really don't know.  I think it's just the 9/11 effect still in Monmouth.  As for Salem I have no idea.  Every county was a little more Republican than in 2000.

I also think there was McGreevey backlash.