Will 2010 Florida US Senate Race be similar to 2004 PA US Senate Race.

[TeePee4Prez]

Toomey would have gone down in flames to Hoeffel, but not as much as Santorum did.  I would give Hoeffel a 7 point margin over Toomey because there would have been more Bush-Hoeffel crossovers in the Philly suburbs than Kerry-Toomey in the Lehigh Valley. 

In Florida, I think Meek is a great candidate, but in a state like that I would rather the nominee be someone like Kathy Castor, Peter Deutsch, or Debbie Wasserman-Schultz especially in 2010. 

[TeePee4Prez]

A specific question is- What if Pat Toomey won the GOP primary in 2004- Would he have defeated Joe Hoeffell in the general election.

Hoeffell (D) : 54%
Toomey (R) : 45%

In 2004?  Even I wasn't as generous towards Hoeffel.  You have to remember there would have easily been thousands of Kerry-Toomey crossovers especially in the Lehigh Valley.  I also think Toomey would have in fact hurt Bush even more in PA.  You also have to remember Toomey has, and still hasn't, said anything as inflammatory as Santorum.  He hasn't exactly pissed of Philadelphia suburban women en masse and blew a portion of his 1994/2000 bases.

As much as I don't agree with Toomey on a damn thing, I also can't underestimate him.  He has won a swing district with some wiggle room despite such sharp right winged views.