Canadian by-elections, 2017 (next event: Calgary-Lougheed, AB prov.: Dec 14)

[DL]

What will it mean for Scheer’s leadership if after losing Lac St. Jean to the Liberals he proceeds to lose Durrey-White Rock too? Opposition are supposed to win seats from the government in byelections not lose them. If Scheer loses that Surrey s’est where exactly does he expect to ever win? If the Tories lose a very WASPy, high income exurban seat in Surrey its a very very bad omen for him

[DL]

I'd say that we only won it because of Watts.

Maybe, but it's not exactly a Liberal riding. It hasn't gone Liberal since 1968.

It didn’t even go Liberal in 1968. In ‘68 all of Surrey was one riding and it went NDP that year. So Surrey-White Rock has actually NEVER ever elected a Liberal

[DL]

Wow. Not good news for the NDP. But I'm glad the Liberals lost the seat. I really hated how they dealt with the electoral reform plebiscite.

Any particular reason for this? for the last few, two elections or so, the NDP and Greens have been fighting each other for third, and the Greens have been winning the fight now, any local PEI reasons? This isn't the case in NS, and might be the case in NB, but I think we need to see what happens after the next election there. But looks like in PEI the anti-Liberal progressive vote is going Green over NDP?

It’s very simple. In the last PEI election the Greens lucked out my narrowly electing their leader while the NDP narrowly missed electing theirs. Now the Greens have the legitimacy of having a seat and scoop up the “neither red nor blue” vote