Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide

[mileslunn]

So what is this Rosatellum system?

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-italy-politics-election/italy-calls-confidence-votes-in-senate-on-new-electoral-law-idUSKBN1CT289

Is it just as the article says;

The proposed election law would distribute almost two-thirds of the seats in parliament on a proportional basis, while a third would be decided in a first-past-the-post vote on specific candidates.

Sounds like a version of the Japanese system except with less FPTP MPs?

Parties/lists can join national alliances. Alliances can run at most one candidate in each FPTP seat, but can run more than one PR list. The law explicitly forbids the so-called disjoint vote. That means that your FPTP vote and your PR vote must always go to the same alliance.

Interesting, one of the arguments we've been hearing from PR supporters here in Canada is no country that has ever adopted PR has ditched it but it seems Italy is heading that way although not to a complete FTFP system although I think AV is the best system followed by FTFP, but doubt you will see any European country that uses PR going to either despite the advantages.

[mileslunn]

So is it pretty much a foregone conclusion the centre-right will win, just whether they get a majority or not or could the Five star Movement or Democratic Party still have a chance.  Also my understanding is even if Berlusconi leads his coalition he cannot be PM, so who will be PM if his coalition wins?