Exit poll leaks

[The Duke]

Remember, the GOP usually begins voting en masse at 4pm, which is why early exit polls often show Democrats doing better than they really are (remember Drudge's leak that Erskine Bowles was crushing Liddy Dole?).

The GOP doesn't even start voting in large number in Florida, Pennsyvania, and New Hampshire for another 9 minutes.

[The Duke]

Not to mention the Western states!!

Colorado? Please. It's what, barely after lunchtime there

And the early voters, who according to national (not state) surveys favor Bush and in IA 50% of the GOP registered voters voted early. Absentee ballots, especially military, which favor Bush, also not counted by exit polls.

The exits predicted Gore by 100,000 votes in Florida, and that wasn't an early return it was the real deal.  I won't believe a 60-40 race in PA until the Secretary of State certifies it.

[The Duke]

From Durdge, even he cautions against taking these seriously.

[But early 2000 exit polls showed Gore +3 in Florida; showed Gore-Bush even in CO [Bush won by 9], exits showed Gore +4 in AZ [Bush won by 6]