Who will win in Connecticut?

[homelycooking]

Saying that Foley isn't the nominee is like saying Charlie Crist isn't the nominee in Florida. The convention only kept McKinney above 15% so that it'd be easier for Foley to beat Boughton in a 3 way race, but now Boughton and Mckinney's running mate are both out. McKinney doesn't have a chance. It would've been much better for Malloy if McKinney could win since he is much easier to beat than Foley, but Foley is making this almost a true toss up. I still think it's a tilt dem at the moment and Bridgeport will probably give Malloy another 4 years.

Eh they only did that last time because voting stayed open late

Malloy's officially certified margin of victory statewide in 2010 was 6,404. Bridgeport's margin of victory for Malloy was 13,874. When the closing of the polls was pushed back from 8 to 10 PM in Bridgeport, voting had already been open for 14 hours. Do you believe that 50% of Malloy's votes in that city were cast in the final two hours of voting?

[homelycooking]

I think Foley will, narrowly.

Also, Former State Rep. Jonathan Pelto, a Democrat, is running as a Democrat. If his candidacy catches fire, game over for Malloy.

Pelto is not running as a Democrat. He is petitioning for ballot access as a candidate of his own "Education and Democracy" party, though he would most certainly attract the votes of liberal Democrats in a general election.

Even if Pelto manages to only win 1-2% of the vote, the margin between Foley and Malloy is likely to be tight enough that a third-party Pelto candidacy could significantly improve Foley's odds of winning the election.