ian
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,461
Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -1.39
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« on: June 04, 2006, 03:46:18 PM » |
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Likely Switch
1. OHIO (Open-R)
2. NEW YORK (Open-R)
Lean Switch
3. COLORADO (Open-R)
4. IOWA (Open-D)
5. WISCONSIN (Doyle-D)
6. ILLINOIS (Blagojevich-D)
7. MAINE (Baldacci-D)
Tossup
8. MASSACHUSETTS (Open-R)
9. MARYLAND (Ehrlich-R)
10. ARKANSAS (Open-R)
Lean Incumbent Party
11. FLORIDA (Open-R)
12. CALIFORNIA (Schwarzenegger-R)
13. PENNSYLVANIA (Rendell-D)
14. MICHIGAN (Granholm-D)
15. ALASKA (Murkowski-R)
16. NEVADA (Open-R)
Likely Incumbent Party
17. RHODE ISLAND (Carcieri-R)
18. TEXAS (Perry-R)
19. OREGON (Kulongoski-D)
20. MINNESOTA (Pawlenty-R)
21. ALABAMA (Riley-R)
22. GEORGIA (Perdue-R)
23. TENNESSEE (Bredesen-D)
24. KANSAS (Sebelius-D)
Strong Incumbent Party
25. OKLAHOMA (Henry-D)
26. SOUTH CAROLINA (Sanford-R)
27. IDAHO (Isn’t this open now?-R)
28. VERMONT (Douglas-R)
29. SOUTH DAKOTA (Rounds-R)
30. HAWAII (Lingle-R)
31. ARIZONA (Napolitano-D)
32. NEW HAMPSHIRE (Lynch-D)
33. CONNECTICUT (Rell-R)
34. WYOMING (Freudenthal-D)
35. NEW MEXICO (Richardson-D)
36. NEBRASKA (Heineman-R)
I realize this list is a little kooky. I didn't put too much time in it, but I really do think that Baldacci is that vulnerable; I'm surprised that it's not that much of a concensus.
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