I will need to see the ballot design/placement he gets in different states.
Just spitballing…
Alaska
Utah
Montana
Oregon
Maine
RFK jr. doesn't seem to be a good fit for Utah, don't see it. Yeah, sure the only reason why he could do well is because neither Trump or Biden are liked there at all. But RFK jr. seems a bad fit for Utah as well.
Almost 30% of all Utah voters chose a non-Clinton/Trump option in 2016, and the state ranked second for non-Trump/Biden votes in 2020. RFK will just benefit from being the de facto none of the above option, and there will be a lot of those voters in Utah. I don’t know why this pattern would suddenly be upended in 2024.
