Why did Hillary do so well in Florida? (user search)
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  Why did Hillary do so well in Florida? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why did Hillary do so well in Florida?  (Read 902 times)
xavier110
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,578
United States
« on: March 28, 2024, 02:10:48 PM »

In 2008, Florida was 4.4 points to the right of the nation. In 2012, it was 3.02 points to the right. In 2020, it was 7.9 points to the right. In 2004, it was 7.4 points to the right.

In 2016, Florida was 3.3 points to right the nation. This despite the the rest of the nation swinging right. Florida only swung 2 points to the right from 2012 to 2016 despite all the other swing states swinging 7-15 points.

The nation as a whole swung about 2 points, but it almost entirely concerted in the Midwest and Northeast. So Trump's appeal was strongest in the Midwest.

Yet in 2020, one could argue that Trump's strongest appeal was in Florida. It was the only swing state to move right

So in 2016, it seems Hillary Clinton had a unique appeal in Florida. Sure she still lost but only by 3 points. That seems odds considering the results of Floridian elections before and after 2016 when looking at the national popular vote. She should have lost Florida by a lot more.

Was Trump unattractive to Floridians in 2016? His 2020 results seem to suggest otherwise.

Was it the Cuban vote? Bush won 75% and 78% of the Cuban vote. Romney got 52% in 2012 to Obama's 48%. In 2016,Trump won 52-41% of the Cuban vote. So Hillary wasn't more popular with Cubans.

Trump won FL by 1.2% in 2016
Yes? What did I say that conflicts that?

Near the end of the post you say Clinton lost by 3.
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