March 19th Official Primary Thread (AZ, FL, IL, KS, OH)

[xavier110]

I would think Illinois is the only state that might be even remotely interesting on either side.

Trump protest vote in AZ is worth watching.

Yeah, lots of registered RINOs in AZ; plus, almost everyone is enrolled in vote by mail. Main advantage for Trump is it’s closed, no indies.

[xavier110]

I would think Illinois is the only state that might be even remotely interesting on either side.

Trump protest vote in AZ is worth watching.

Yeah, lots of registered RINOs in AZ; plus, almost everyone is enrolled in vote by mail. Main advantage for Trump is it’s closed, no indies.

is it?

NYT says

Voters may only vote in the primary of the party they are registered with, but independents may choose a primary in which to participate

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/19/us/elections/results-arizona-republican-presidential-primary.html

The NYT is wrong. It’s open for regular statewide primaries, closed for PPE.
https://www.abc15.com/news/local-news/your-questions-answered-arizonas-2024-presidential-preference-election

[xavier110]

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1770217454859399504

Everything but the polls suggests a Joe Biden victory

[xavier110]

Maricopa mail dropped

Biden 90%
Other 10%

Trump 74%
Haley 22%
Other 4%

[xavier110]

Zero election day vote has been counted yet so this should take a while.

Small batch.

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1770302398713766377?t=3hLKDTKNi_ywDDsn...

The AZ SOS has a way to view by voting type. Trump is currently winning something like 95% of the polling place vote with a little over 3k reported. There’s just not going to be a lot of EDay vote. The Assad margins may ultimately get him just over 80% though.

[xavier110]

Great sign for November that Arizona has still only counted 80% of the vote lol.

There’s probably about 50-75k vote left (https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/BPS/59/0). So 80% isn’t exactly accurate when a million ballots have already been tabulated. More like 5-10% of total vote is likely outstanding.

The problem remains the idiots who drop off their early ballots at the polls. It’s especially egregious when this ballot had one race on it. I kinda get it when faced with 50+ different races and ballot questions and judges.

The GE will be a sh*tshow regardless.

[xavier110]

Great sign for November that Arizona has still only counted 80% of the vote lol.

There’s probably about 50-75k vote left (https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/BPS/59/0). So 80% isn’t exactly accurate when a million ballots have already been tabulated. More like 5-10% of total vote is likely outstanding.

The problem remains the idiots who drop off their early ballots at the polls. It’s especially egregious when this ballot had one race on it. I kinda get it when faced with 50+ different races and ballot questions and judges.

The GE will be a sh*tshow regardless.

Showing up to the precinct on election day with a voted absentee ballot is kind of bizarre behavior all things considered.  

I agree, but a significant portion of AZ voters love doing it, and it’s the primary reason why AZ elections are dragged out. They actually do an excellent job of getting the early and Election Day vote tabulated fast. It’s almost entirely these late/day of “early” ballots that require multiple steps to process. They should really make ballots due before EDay and require those that show up to physically vote. Or have them verify their identity (and expedite processing) at the poll booth when dropping off the ballot.

These conversations, however, devolve into “ban mail in voting” on the GOP side (which is just politically untenable when 80-90% of the state is enrolled and enjoys it) and “voting rights/accessibility” on D side.