2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[xavier110]

Tipirneni didn't file for a re-match. In fact, I doubt most of the folks did. These were just mandatory filings since they got donations post-election to handle things like recounts - that was the case for Tipirneni.

[xavier110]

I honestly think 2022 is going to make 1994 and 2010 look like raindrops in a puddle.  There is no sugar-coating this for Team Blue: this is going to be a tsunami on a large scale, so prepare for the most right-wing House in history.

Grandpa should not be renominated in 2024.  He is a "woke" old man that is always asleep.  No need to wake him up - he'll sleep through the 2024 election anyway.

I just want to fast forward to the second Trump midterm of 2026, when Democrats finally have their Ultimate Villain back in power.

Well, at that point, the state legislatures may have rewritten election laws to ban most elections, lol. They’ll just pick all of our federal officials.

[xavier110]

Generic ballot polling is barely worth your time this far from a general election, but the trends in Pew's tracking poll are affirming some narratives:









The gender gap becoming more fundamental than the education gap (but somehow only for men) will be the most dramatic post-Trump development in US voting patterns if it bears out.

Lol, go Miss Maggie Hassan!

[xavier110]

https://rollcall.com/2022/06/14/dccc-designates-four-more-members-for-special-protection/

The DCCC has added the incumbents in MD-06, NH-02, NM-03, and IN-01 to their list of Frontline Democrats.

They have also added candidates in a number of seats to their Red to Blue program which identifies possible Republican-held and open seats as targets:

-Jevin Hodge (AZ-01, Schweikert)
-Annette Taddeo (FL-27, Taddeo)
-Don Davis (NC-01, OPEN)
-Wiley Nickel (NC-13, OPEN)
-Jeff Jackson (NC-14, OPEN)
-Bridget Fleming (NY-01, OPEN)
-Francis Conole (NY-22, OPEN)
-Val Hoyle (OR-04, OPEN)
-Jamie McLeod Skinner (OR-05, OPEN)
-Andrea Salinas (OR-06, New Seat)
-Chris Deluzio (PA-17, OPEN)

Jevin Hodge SUCKS. Don’t know if I could stomach voting for him, and I hope he loses the primary.

[xavier110]

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1571518227779579905

This is honestly one of the strangest developments of the cycle for me. It’s not like O’Halleran was pulling amazing numbers in past races, so I don’t understand what the NRCC is seeing in their internals.

[xavier110]

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1571518227779579905

This is honestly one of the strangest developments of the cycle for me. It’s not like O’Halleran was pulling amazing numbers in past races, so I don’t understand what the NRCC is seeing in their internals.

It's almost as if Kari Lake is not winning by 4-5 in the governors race!

You’re obsessed, lol. I can say with complete confidence that O’Halleran will easily out run Hobbs here and that, if for whatever reason, Crane is doing poorly it has little to do with the governor race.

[xavier110]

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1571518227779579905

This is honestly one of the strangest developments of the cycle for me. It’s not like O’Halleran was pulling amazing numbers in past races, so I don’t understand what the NRCC is seeing in their internals.

It's almost as if Kari Lake is not winning by 4-5 in the governors race!

You’re obsessed, lol. I can say with complete confidence that O’Halleran will easily out run Hobbs here and that, if for whatever reason, Crane is doing poorly it has little to do with the governor race.

What I'm saying is that it's quite possible that polls showing Dems doing rather well in AZ (Kelly up 4-6, Hobbs up 1-3) are probably more likely to be right then if even seats like AZ-02 are competitive.

There is no scenario where Lake is winning by 5 and Kelly is winning by 1 where AZ-02 is somewhat competitive.

Well, I think that is my point. AZ-02 will not be competitive and I do not understand what the NRCC is doing. Let them burn the money. AZ-01 and 06 will ultimately be closer races.

[xavier110]

https://twitter.com/aaronblake/status/1577664253196115975

What a bizarre interview. It does sound like AZ is a bit of a lost cause though it’s not over til it’s over.

If the goal was to motivate Republicans and hype them up about WA/CO, why demote AZ in the process?