AZ-08 special election: Primary 4/17, General 6/12

[xavier110]

http://www.pima.gov/elections/results1.htm

[xavier110]

No pollster can exactly nail down margins, especially when there are undecideds in the poll and a margin of error. At this point, it's just nitpicking to claim PPP was wrong.

PPP actually showed Suzanne Bonamici up 52-41 in OR-1 before the election, she ending up winning 54-40, which was a case of PPP slightly overstating a Republican. It's polling, it doesn't always nail down margins exactly. Anyway, Kelly still lost, so it's all a moot point.

And yet when WAA did exactly the same thing as PPP just did (Walker +12), it was a little more than nitpicking.

It's very funny how you spinsters dance.

Releasing an outlier poll (+12 when everyone else was around +3-6) for a well-polled statewide race is entirely different from being the only friggin' outlet to release a poll for a congressional race.

[xavier110]

No pollster can exactly nail down margins, especially when there are undecideds in the poll and a margin of error. At this point, it's just nitpicking to claim PPP was wrong.

PPP actually showed Suzanne Bonamici up 52-41 in OR-1 before the election, she ending up winning 54-40, which was a case of PPP slightly overstating a Republican. It's polling, it doesn't always nail down margins exactly. Anyway, Kelly still lost, so it's all a moot point.

And yet when WAA did exactly the same thing as PPP just did (Walker +12), it was a little more than nitpicking.

It's very funny how you spinsters dance.

Releasing an outlier poll (+12 when everyone else was around +3-6) for a well-polled statewide race is entirely different from being the only friggin' outlet to release a poll for a congressional race.

Everyone? Actually nobody except 1 was below +5. Guess who that 1 was?



PPP (D)   6/2 - 6/3   1226 LV   50   47   Walker +3
Marquette University   5/23 - 5/26   600 LV   52   45   Walker +7
WPR/St. Norbert   5/17 - 5/22   406 LV   50   45   Walker +5
Daily Kos/PPP (D)   5/11 - 5/13   LV   50   45   Walker +5
Marquette University   5/9 - 5/12   600 LV   50   44   Walker +6
Rasmussen Reports   5/9 - 5/9   500 LV   50   45   Walker +5

To prove my point, I have deleted WAA polls from this list. Last time I checked, +12 is further away from the consensus spread than +3. Keep trying!!