She's probably get a cabinet position of some kind if he's elected. I really really doubt she gets VP. There'd be almost no benefit.
Huh? There would be an enormous benefit. Suburban moms and "concerned" conservatives love Haley. They're already considering voting for Trump and this gives them the excuse they need. It would be such a huge benefit that I'd move the race from strong Lean R to Likely R instantly if it happened.
The reports that Trump had narrowed it down to only men -- including the deranged, previously NeverTrump, TradCath JD Vance (who REALLY brings nothing to the table as Appalachia and terminally online conservatives were already 100% Trump), the empty suit who is remarkable only for his race Tim Scott (who also brings nothing to the table as no black people would fall for such a shameless stunt), and "Little Marco" -- always made no sense to me.
I didn't think he'd choose Haley either though given his pettiness, and am somewhat surprised Kristi Noem literally murdering puppies apparently turned Trump off rather than on. But from a strategic perspective, there is zero doubt he needs to choose a woman who can at least pretend she's "moderate" passably enough to the dumbest people in the country and can allow him to further gaslight the nation about the fact that he is responsible for the greatest blow to women's rights in decade. Burgum is the only male choice floated that makes sense for Trump as he is the ultimate nobody. Moat of Trump's supporters wouldn't even know who he is by election day and that's exactly how the world's biggest narcissist would want it. But if he is thinking remotely strategically, it should be a woman.
If I could like this 10 times over, I would. This is an excellent take that I 150% agree with.
I'd go further and say that if he doesn't choose Haley, it might be enough to lose the election. The conserved conservatives, etc you mention might not bother to vote if Haley isn't the running mate. I think Trump underrates them as a threat. The Never Trump movement actually found someone to coalesce around in her - and I believe they are FOR her enough (as much as they are anti-Trump) that without her, and with some generic loser like Burgum, they might not bother showing up.
