What could be the “surprise” of this election

[TechbroMBA]

That the polls are right and amongst two candidates with 100% name recognition and strong unfavorables the campaign season will basically convince no one and mobilize only the people who were already mobilized. Trump wins the popular and has a comfortable EV margin despite running a shabby and underfunded campaign.

I say this is a “surprise” since the GOP hasn’t led the polls or won the popular in 20 years so many posters on this board assume it literally cannot happen. Similarly since the rematch has been baked in since early 2023 I don’t think the “it’s too early” argument is that persuasive in this cycle.

So yeah, the pie being baked already and the next few months being completely meaningless would be my choice.