Is Texas' Future Blue?

[mjba257]

Here's what the future looks like (my crystal ball), circa 2040s

Pure tossups: AZ, DE, NJ, NM, NC, PA, RI, TX
Lean/Likely R: AK, KS, MI, NV, SC, TN, UT, WI
Lean/Likely D: GA, HI, IL, MN, NY

[mjba257]

Here's what the future looks like (my crystal ball), circa 2040s

Pure tossups: AZ, DE, NJ, NM, NC, PA, RI, TX
Lean/Likely R: AK, KS, MI, NV, SC, TN, UT, WI
Lean/Likely D: GA, HI, IL, MN, NY

What about MS?

Unless blacks gain an absolute majority in population, MS will not budge. It is perhaps the most racially polarized state in the country. Mississippi whites are about as Republican as blacks are Democrat. And Mississippi is not a state experiencing big population growth, so I don't see much change happening. OTOH, states like SC and TN are growing and you have college educated whites moving in, which could shift said states in the future.