What would 2012 election look like if...............

[President Mitt]

Unemployment is at 6.1, troops are partially out of Iraq, Health Care bill completely fails, Republicans take Senate and House and Obama's approval is at 52%.

He runs against a "do-nothing" Congress much as did Harry Truman in 1948, and wins decisively. Difference: There's no secession of Dixiecrats who are already GOP.

deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%
white                        too close to call  40
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin  
deep blue                 Republican over 10%  

Hail the Machine!

[President Mitt]

The oil spill is Obama's Katrina.

How? The crisis was the result of an energy company's incompetence. Public anger is being directed at BP, not the Government.