2016 Election Game - Game Thread

[sentinel]

JANUARY 19 - 25

Naitonal Polling:

Sandoval: 36%
Christie: 26%
Bush: 25%
West: 8%
Rubio: 5%


South Carolina:

Sandoval: 35%
Bush: 23%
Rubio: 15%
Christie: 15%
West: 10%

Nevada:

Sandoval: 66%
Bush: 15%
Christie: 13%
West: 4%
Rubio: 2%

Florida:

Bush: 48%
Rubio: 20%
Sandoval: 15%
West: 12%
Christie: 5%


(Requests for polling?)

Narrative:

The Presidential race heats up with Governor Sandoval beating out Governor Jeb Bush in New Hampshire in a narrow second place victory. Governor Christie has won one state but still remains in third for delegates so far. Some pundits are writing off Congressman West and Senator Rubio as "second tier" and that the race is a 3-way race. Others disagree saying that Rick Santorum did better than expected in 2012.

Pundits also speculate that Senator Gillibrand will get a formal endorsement from the President after there is a Republican nominee.

The economy continues to improve at a modest rate. Health care costs continue to rise and the President's health care bill is still being debated --not on constitutionality as much--but more on its effectiveness.

The war on the Indian subcontinent still tops the headlines. The war continues to escalate as India secures one of Pakistan's nuclear missiles and claims to have "disabled the warhead" although US intelligence is unable to confirm this. National security experts are strongly debating whether or not US forces should intervene to secure Pakistani nuclear weapons. This topic rises to the top of national attention with some Republicans in the House calling for this exact thing to happen.

Secretary of State Richardson is going to the Middle East to see if he can try to stimulate peace talks.

[sentinel]

NEVADA CAUCUS RESULTS:

Sandoval: 66% (25 Delegates)
Bush: 15% (6 Delegates)
Christie: 13%
West: 4%
Rubio: 2%

Pundits: An expected victory by Governor Sandoval. The real battle was between Governors Christie and Bush for second place and for the 15% threshold for delegates.

*Will post updated map after South Carolina

Later "this week" (aka today)

-Narrative
-South Carolina results
-Polling including the states you requested

[sentinel]

Christie Press Conference:

Q. Are you at all affected by the amount of endorsements Governor Sandoval has received?

I said you could have more endorsements on the other thread. I don't think I received a message from you.

[sentinel]

South Carolina Results

Sandoval: 34%
Christie: 22%
Bush: 21%
Rubio: 15%
West: 8%

Governor Brian Sandoval of Nevada - 3 states, 66 Delegates
Governor Jeb Bush of Florida - 40 Delegates
Congressman Allen West of Florida - 9 Delegates
Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey - 1 state, 19 Delegates
Senator Marco Rubio of Florida - 8 Delegates


Pundits: Governor Bush maintains his second place status in the national delegate count while Governor Sandoval extends his lead by winning South Carolina. The next voting is on Super Tuesday where 23 states, the Virgin Islands and American Samoa will be voting.

[sentinel]

...I just typed all 25 or so results from Super Tuesday and then pressed post...and it logged me  out...wow

[sentinel]

SUPER TUESDAY

Results:

Alabama:

Sandoval: 44%
Christie: 30%
Bush: 18%
West: 8%

Alaska:

Sandoval: 38%
Christie: 35%
Bush: 20%
West: 7%

American Samoa:

Bush: 58%
Sandoval: 30%
Christie: 9%
West: 3%

Arizona:

Sandoval: 48%
Christie: 27%
Bush: 20%
West: 5%

Arkansas:

Sandoval: 49%
Christie: 27%
Bush: 15%
West: 9%

Colorado:

Christie: 35%
Sandoval: 33%
Bush: 29%
West: 3%

Delaware:

Christie: 40%
Sandoval: 32%
Bush: 25%
West: 3%

Florida:

Bush: 44%
Sandoval: 32%
West: 24%
Christie: 15%

Georgia:

Bush: 38%
Sandoval: 33%
Christie: 18%
West: 11%

Idaho:

Sandoval: 48%
Christie: 31%
Bush: 21%
West: 5%

Illinois:

Christie: 38%
Bush: 32%
Sandoval: 27%
West: 3%

Kansas:

Sandoval: 55%
Bush: 17%
Christie: 23%
West: 5%

Louisiana:

Bush: 38%
Sandoval: 33%
Christie: 19%
West: 10%

Michigan:

Christie: 36%
Sandoval: 33%
Bush: 26
West: 5%

Minnesota:

Christie: 42%
Sandoval: 35%
Bush: 20%
West: 3%

Missouri:

Sandoval: 43%
Christie: 32%
Bush: 18%
West: 7%

Nebraska:

Sandoval: 40%
Christie: 30%
Bush: 23%
West: 7%

New Jersey:

Christie: 55%
Sandoval: 35%
Bush: 10%
West: 5%

New Mexico:

Sandoval: 55%
Christie: 27%
Bush: 15%
West: 2%

North Dakota:

Sandoval: 38%
Bush: 30%
Christie: 30%
West: 2%

Oklahoma:

Sandoval:  44%
Bush: 37%
Christie:  15%
West: 5%

Tennessee:

Sandoval: 44%
Christie: 29%
Bush: 22%
West: 5%

Utah:

Sandoval: 50%
Christie: 27%
Bush: 20%
West: 3%



Virgin Islands:

Bush: 58%
Sandoval: 25%
Christie: 15%
West: 2%

Washington:

Christie: 40%
Sandoval: 37%
Bush: 20%
West: 2%

Governor Brian Sandoval of Nevada -  16 States, 480 Delegates
Governor Jeb Bush of Florida - 3 States (& American Samoa,Virgin Islands), 309 Delegates
Congressman Allen West of Florida - 36  Delegates
Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey - 8 States, 325 Delegates
Senator Marco Rubio of Florida - 8 Delegates (Delegates to Sandoval)



@ChairmanSanchez - I had all of them on an excel sheet, and I happened to have most of it copy and pasted anyway.

[sentinel]

Results/narrative coming before midnight

[sentinel]

Maine:

Sandoval: 45%
Christie: 42%
Bush: 13%

DC:

Sandoval: 55%
Christie: 37%
Bush: 8%

Maryland:

Christie: 46%
Sandoval: 44%
Bush: 10%

Virginia:

Sandoval: 50%
Christie: 42%
Bush: 8%




Pundits: A big night for Governor Sandoval winning 3 out of 4 contests. Sandoval was not expected to win Maine going into tonight but has made inroads into the home region of Governor Chris Christie.

Governor Brian Sandoval of Nevada -  19 States, 585 Delegates
Governor Jeb Bush of Florida - 3 States (& American Samoa,Virgin Islands), 309 Delegates
Congressman Allen West of Florida - 36  Delegates (Delegates to Sandoval)
Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey - 9 States, 386 Delegates
Senator Marco Rubio of Florida - 8 Delegates (Delegates to Sandoval)

National Polling:

Sandoval: 55%
Christie: 35%
Bush: 10%

Ohio Polling:

Sandoval: 45%
Christie: 38%
Bush: 10%

Texas:

Sandoval: 48%
Christie: 33%
Bush: 11%

Narrative:

As the Republican race goes on, President Obama comments on former Senator Hagel's recent commentary saying "Never thought I'd hear that come out of his mouth. Unfortunate to see such a respectable Senator taking the low road." The Pakistan/Iran-India War largely turns into a stalemate as India is unable to continue pushing back Pakistani forces but Pakistan is unable to continue advancing either. Later in the week, Secretary of State Bill Richardson says he has gotten all parties to agree to convening in Turkey and speaking with President Obama there.

Domestically, inflation continues to rise and cries grow within Congress for an audit of the Federal Reserve.

[sentinel]

**In addition to my last post, February 13 - 20 starts tonight.

More Polling:

Head to Head Match Ups:

Gillibrand: 40%
Christie: 40%
Trump: 10%
Hagel: 2%

Sandoval: 46%
Gillibrand: 42%
Trump: 8%
Hagel: 2%

[sentinel]

Jeb Bush Concession Speech

After much consideration, I have decided to endorse Governor Sandoval.

Updated Delegate Count - 1,152 Needed To Win, 2,303 Total

Governor Brian Sandoval of Nevada -  19 States, 893 Delegates
Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey - 9 States, 386 Delegates
Governor Jeb Bush of Florida - 3 States (& American Samoa,Virgin Islands), 309 Delegates (Delegates to Sandoval)
Congressman Allen West of Florida - 36  Delegates (Delegates to Sandoval)
Senator Marco Rubio of Florida - 8 Delegates (Delegates to Sandoval)

Out of 1,279 delegates selected so far Sandoval has won 69.8% of them to Christie's 30.2%. Out of the 1,152 needed to win, Sandoval needs 259 to win while Christie needs 766.
Out of the total delegates, Sandoval has won 38.8% of them while Christie has won 16.7% of them while the remainder remain uncommitted until a vote has occurred.

[sentinel]

See rules thread

[sentinel]

Polling Aggregate Of Sandoval v. Gillibrand Head to Head Polls with no toss ups.

Sandoval: 284
Gillibrand: 254

Consider all "leaners" aka 30% coloring, the toss up states.

[sentinel]

July 1 - 6 2016 starts now

A brief update on March through June 2016

After Governor Brian Sandoval and Senator Kirsten Gillibrand secured their respective party's nomination the race entered a lull as the war in the Indian subcontinent took over the television of Americans and the rest of the world. In early March 2016 the United States for the first time threatened action against Pakistan if it did not take steps to secure its nuclear arsenal. Pakistan said its arsenal was secure but many international organizations backed the United States' claims and watchdogs on the ground reported otherwise. India said that if Pakistan allowed the UN to secure the nuclear arsenal --India would end hostilities showing the serious threat of nuclear weapons falling into the wrong hands. Many countries praise India's offer and say that "India has stood down from nuclear war for the sake of humanity." Pakistan, under pressure from the United States, accepts the offer.

As a result, Indian forces retreat to their own border while the US tries to broker peace between Iran and India. Israel officials say that they "are glad that Pakistan was serious about its own security problems" and that "we hope Iran is just as serious by giving up its nuclear program."

After days of tense brokering, the Ayatollah agrees to comprehensive UN demands thereby making peace with India.

Reviews are mixed about President Obama's role. Some are happy that the US let others lead and tried to be there when needed --while others, especially on the right, say that the lack of US leadership let the war go on for longer than necessary. President Obama calls the solution "one made by the international community and not just one nation." The President's approvals stay up in the 53-55% range for most of this time.

With the war over, the economy comes back to the forefront of national attention. Inflation is at all all time high, unemployment continues to go back down but US National Debt is still on the rise. The Administration has taken some action in the first two years of the President's second term but Republicans rolled back some of the reforms in an omnibus bill saying it was hurting the economy and having the opposite effect.

Recently, former Presidential candidate Newt Gingrich has been talking about expanding NASA and getting a base on another planet. Sci Fi buffs are excited about this idea.

 The current Presidential field is tasked with helping the economy continue growing, lowering inflation, the role the US should play in the international community, cyber-security, tackling the nations debt and the lack of trust in government (& more).

[sentinel]

(Posted a narrative in last post)

[sentinel]

OOC - You couldn't pick a better photo of Christie? Minus 1 point in Alaska. You just lost a random Eskimos vote.

[sentinel]

Today starts the second week in July 2016. Reports from June 2016 say that economic growth has slowed down, some begin to question the recovery. The President says it is "sometimes you gotta slow down on a turn, and then you speed up again."

Polling:

Statewide -

New Jersey:

Gillibrand/Bebee: 47%
Sandoval/Christie: 40%
Trump: 5%
Hagel: ~1%
Undecided:  7%

Arkansas:

Sandoval/Christie: 45%
Gillibrand/Beebe: 38%
Trump: 2%
Hagel: ~1%
Undecided: 14%

National Polling:

Gillibrand/Beebe: 44%
Sandoval/Christie: 45%
Trump: 7%
Hagel: ~1%

[sentinel]

CNN: Breaking News - Senator Chuck Hagel has checked himself into an asylum and will be dropping out of the race for President of the United States.

[sentinel]

Two states per day (in the game), remember

[sentinel]

Two states per day (in the game), remember

OOC: Should I go back and change my schedule or should I just change next week?

Just do next week.

I've been busy today, I'll give you a few states, national polls and narrative tomorrow if I don't get to it tonight

[sentinel]

Sorry. I got caught up with  a few things at school. Reading your posts and making an update now.

[sentinel]

Narrative:

Donald Trump ends his campaign for the Presidency of the United States.

No major news on the home front --the media primarily focuses on campaign coverage and uninteresting local events.

California:

Gillibrand/Beebe: 55%
Sandoval/Christie: 30%

Pennsylvania:

Gillibrand/Beebe: 43%
Sandoval/Christie: 45%

South Carolina:

Gillibrand/Beebe: 38%
Sandoval/Christie: 49%

New Hampshire:

Gillibrand/Beebe: 44%
Sandoval/Christie: 47%

Texas:

Gillibrand/Beebe: 40%
Sandoval/Christie: 47%

*We'll have tomorrow start week 3, July 15 through 21.

[sentinel]

OOC: TBH, with a pro-choice Hispanic Republican, the election in CA should be closer. This election is practically teetering on a mini-realignment.

And given that our schedules go to the 17th, could you extend Week 3 to September 24th?

I'll extend this week to July 24. I wasn't going to b/c I messed up but sure.

[sentinel]

Mondale is out of the country til the 25, so Snowstalker will be posting for him in the meantime.

[sentinel]

Hey guys. Sorry about dropping off the face of the world. I've been up to my eyes in school work and other involvement on campus. I'll be back in action shortly.

[sentinel]

What stage were we in? Is there still interest? I may still have the data files.