Forum Dems in denial about 2012 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 14, 2024, 08:50:55 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Forum Dems in denial about 2012 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Forum Dems in denial about 2012  (Read 7182 times)
sentinel
sirnick
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -6.61

« on: July 12, 2011, 05:14:04 PM »


Seriously. By doing what? Injecting 30 IQ points into her brain?

I don't think turning her in Michelle Bachmann would have helped much.

That would've involved directly injecting 30 IQ points and 10 pounds of raw crazy.

Raw crazy is quite pricey, I doubt the McCain campaign could have afforded it on public financing.


I went through the Wikipedia page for State-wide opinion polling, which may or may not be up to date but here is the picture with Obama v. Romney...


Based on the latest polls on there (which may not really be the latest)...

Obama: 246
Romney: 135
Toss Up - 20
Gray (No poll listed) - 137

Now lets add in the states which no one is going to dispute

Romney gets Idaho, North Dakota, Kansas, Oklahoma, Alabama, Indiana, Alaska Kentucky, Louisana, Arkansas...

Obama gets Delaware, DC, Illinois, New York, Connecticut...



Turned off the popular vote feature, but if we add these in...

Obama: 318
Romney: 200
Toss Up: 20

Of course, the race can and will tighten up, and many polls (Florida) are clearly within the margin of error. I still think his chances look pretty good. Plus once Obama wins, everyone will say he was unbeatable and if he loses everyone is going to say that anyone could have taken him out.

Logged
sentinel
sirnick
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -6.61

« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2011, 06:11:56 PM »

sirnick, why do you assume that North Carolina, a state that barely went Obama in 2008, will be enough pro Democratic to be shaded red?  I mean this is the state that elected Jesse Helms to the US Senate for three decades for christ sake.

If you read what I wrote, I'm going by the polling numbers for the state that were aggregated on the Wikipedia page.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/June2011NCPresidentPoll.pdf

It's within the margin of error, like I said...
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 11 queries.