We’re at the point where a 7-point swing to TRUMP in New York feels underwhelming.
Well this would be ground zero for a good performance for Trump in NY. Long Island is more than just the North Shore and the East Hamptons.
Pretty much this, if Long Island is swinging Trump by 7, New York as a whole is probably only swinging like +3 or 4 to Trump rather than the +15 or so people are out claiming because this is the area that's going GOP hardest.
Look at 2022, Long Island is clearly the area the GOP is improving in most in basically the entire country. That's what I mean when I say Long Island Trump by 3 fine. Biden's still winning Nassau on those numbers. NY-04 can still easily flip D.
As we know, every presidential election is exactly like the midterm before it (ignore the most recent presidential election).
Then, why Illinois wasn't competitive in 2012?
