Most likely neither Hillary nor Trump will be their party's nominee. (user search)
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  Most likely neither Hillary nor Trump will be their party's nominee. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Most likely neither Hillary nor Trump will be their party's nominee.  (Read 1542 times)
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


« on: March 15, 2016, 01:25:25 PM »

OK, Beet, who do you think is the most likely Republican nominee under this scenario?

EDIT: And yes, it is mathematically possible for Elizabeth Warren to jump into the race tomorrow, take every pledged delegate going forward, and go into the convention with more than either Hillary or Bernie. Will it happen? No. But is it possible? Yes. Stop saying my predictions are mathematically impossible because if that was true, Bernie wouldn't be campaigning.

Even if there is no path for him whatsoever, Bernie still would be running, at least until Hillary clinched enough delegated to become a presumptive nominee. Remember he launched his campaign to address issues, since literally nobody gave him a chance when he entered the race.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 01:27:16 PM »

You're saying things that simply aren't true. He can cut her lead by about ~100 delegates between now and New York by blowing out the lily white states, even if he gets nothing out of Arizona and Hawaii. California alone has 475 delegates. There are plenty of delegates to go, and with his superior campaign it's more likely he'll get them or not.

No he can't. Unless you're thinking he wins them by Vermont-esque margins.

Bernie can sweep rest of the states, but he still would be likely to be short of delegates.

This is how Obama won in 2008: in addition to states he won he managed to make it close in a number of key Hillary states, thus collecting delegates needed despite losing those.

Don't get me wrong, I'd love to believe Bernie has a convinceable path, but the only chance Hillary is not the nominee is if she's going to jail. And despite right wing trollery, that's not very likely either.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 01:47:40 PM »

Well that settles it. It's DEFINITELY going to be Hillary vs. Trump.

I guess all media outlets can make a projection now due to Beet's reverse effect.
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