Which state, as a percentage, would have the most walker'16, obama '12 voters?

[dmmidmi]

For the last 30 years, Ohio has routinely voted ~1 point to the right of the country, and Iowa has voted ~1 point to the left of the country. Based on the national tally, the results in each state--on election night--shouldn't surprise anybody. Ohio isn't all of a sudden going to vote 4 points to the right of the national vote, because the GOP candidate is from Wisconsin. The same goes with Iowa.

Virginia reaching the national average is a recent phenomenon. Because it's difficult to tell whether this is temporary or permanent, that would have to be my choice.