CO 2014

[California8429]

I went to Brophy's rally, he's going to try to position himself as a reasonable republican who can satisfy the republican base and reach out to independents. If the race locks like this, he will win the nomination. This isn't the gaffe prone Brophy we love and know. He's goofy and goofy looking but so is Hickenlooper, in fact they could be cousins. Brophy isn't a crazy right tea party amateur. Odds heavily favor Hickenlooper, but I'm convince Brophy could win a general election. No way Tancredo or Gessler could.

I hear Mike Kopp wants in though so that can totally throw things off. Buck, Stephens, and Beauprez are looking at U.S. Senate

[California8429]

Ken Buck is considered certain to launch a campaign for Senate now.

Meanwhile we still don't know what Gessler is running for, just that he wants a job and doesn't understand how toxic he is to republicans so please give up the SoS run so we can win the seat.

[California8429]

Ken Buck just filed to run against Udall.

At this point it will probably be Buck vs Owens. If Amy Stephens enters she'll be the de facto Norton (a woman who conservatives in the party hate and is a large part of the reason republicans lost the house in 2012)

[California8429]

What are the odds of CO Democrats winning the CO Secy of State, State Treasurer and State AG races in 2014 ?

Hickenlooper will win reelection as Governor, but by around 12 points.

If gessler runs for re-election in SoS, that is a safe D pick-up. Stapleton has the edge in the Treasurer rate because he's the incumbent and hasn't pissed anyone off, though Markey is the strongest possible challenger and that's who he'll be up against. AG is anyone's game, both sides have strong candidates.