Name a state thats going to surprise us this November (user search)
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  Name a state thats going to surprise us this November (search mode)
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Author Topic: Name a state thats going to surprise us this November  (Read 1314 times)
cherry mandarin
HL23
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« on: May 24, 2024, 11:44:49 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on May 13, 2024, 11:32:11 PM
I don't think this is possible with how modern media works. Sure there could be a shock flip, but I think if there is one the state remains competitive in the long run and doesn't just lurch left.

I agree with the second half of your post, but demographic trends and coalition shifts aren't always linear either. Look at how Trump exceeded the GOP baseline in the north in 2016 while Clinton made gains in the south, yet in 2020 MN/MI/NH/ME trended left harder than VA did.
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