template 2012 electoral map with new electoral vote totals? (user search)
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  template 2012 electoral map with new electoral vote totals? (search mode)
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Author Topic: template 2012 electoral map with new electoral vote totals?  (Read 33976 times)
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« on: October 22, 2008, 08:09:50 PM »
« edited: October 23, 2008, 09:26:25 PM by DukeFan22 »

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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2008, 08:23:17 PM »


I got this from muon2 a while back, but I made one change. I added 1EV to NC to make the total EV 540. I don't like odd numbers.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2008, 08:26:51 PM »

I got this from muon2 a while back, but I made one change. I added 1EV to NC to make the total EV 540. I don't like odd numbers.

Isn't the number of electoral votes fixed at 538?

That is, isn't the House of Reps now fixed at 435 members, then add in 100 senators and 3 EV for DC and you get 538, no?



I have no clue, if so, take one away from NC and another state that you wish.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2008, 08:31:44 PM »

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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2008, 09:03:26 AM »
« Edited: October 24, 2008, 09:06:24 AM by DukeFan22 »


Based on this:

Election 2012/2016/2020:



Election 2024/2028:



Election 2032/2036/2040:

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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2008, 11:57:52 AM »

According to Wikipedia, we'll have this:



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_congressional_apportionment

Latest estimates have LA losing a seat due to the departure from Katrina.  I think SC picks up the final seat.  I haven't seen the latest census estimates and run the algorithm myself, though.  When I get a chance I'll do that.

I like this one better
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2008, 08:03:50 PM »

My projections based on the 2007 population estimates were on this thread.

In summary:
AZ +2
FL +2
GA +1
IL -1
IA -1
LA -1
MA -1
MI -1
MO -1
NV +1
NJ -1
NY -2
OH -2
OR +1
PA -1
TX +4
UT +1

I'll be updating this at the end of the year when the July 2008 numbers are available.

If this is correct there will probably be 10 EV gain for the GOP and possibly a 20 seat gain in the US House.

Will the EV be updated before 2010 mid-term elections?
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