Nixon led George Wallace in the South by 9 points in a hypothetical 1972 poll (user search)
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  Nixon led George Wallace in the South by 9 points in a hypothetical 1972 poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nixon led George Wallace in the South by 9 points in a hypothetical 1972 poll  (Read 3195 times)
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,091
United States
« on: May 09, 2019, 04:54:58 PM »

Suburban southerners are racist hicks.

But even if they weren't, a basic look at the 1980 map shows the counties that Carter won are either black or within the TVA. So, actually, Reagan did very well with Wallace voters.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,091
United States
« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2019, 06:15:29 PM »
« Edited: May 12, 2019, 08:38:14 PM by My Immortal »

Living in the suburbs and being a hick is contradictory as the term "hick" refers people who live in rural areas.

Trust me, there is a cultural "hick" element in those suburbs you will not find in any other part of the country. Certainly the southern suburbs are racist either way.

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Also, TVA Democrats WERE Wallace voters for the most part

Well yeah. I never said otherwise.

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You also conveniently forgot to mention Arkansas

Well Reagan lost Pulaski County so that kind of ruins the narrative.

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SW Louisiana

Linguistic/cultural differences. But keep in mind Wallace won nearly every county in LA in 1968 and most of them went to Reagan.

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SE Texas


Several of of these counties voted for Humphrey in 1968.

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Northern Florida

Spillover from GA. Thin margins as well. Note that the central Florida Wallace counties voted for Reagan easy.

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Georgia

Native son effect.

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and chunks of Alabama, Mississippi

I'm seeing an obvious TVA/black effect in those states. Most of the Wallace vote clearly went to Reagan.

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South Carolina

Well, Wallace didn't do well in SC in the first place. I will concede that the state had a different pattern from others, probably because there wasn't much Wallace support in the first place.

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North Carolina

I'm mostly just seeing geographic variances among Wallace voters.

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and Virginia

Where majority of the Wallace counties voted for Reagan.

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that can't necessarily be explained away by the black vote. Its pretty obvious that most of the rural Wallace vote was going to Carter in 1980, especially factoring in 12 years of generational turnover.

No, it's pretty clear a majority of the Wallace vote went to Reagan. By a landslide? No, but it was clearly the trend.
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