2020 Presidential Results by Religion

[Aurelius2]

Can't blame him for lack of subdivision of the Jewish vote given that we're only 2% of the population all lumped together, but it would be really interesting to see the secular/Reform/Conservative/Orthodox breakdown. I'd guess around 75% D secular, 70% D Reform, 60% D Conservative, and 30% D Orthodox (probably breaking down into around 50% D for Modern Orthodox and 20% D for Haredi). Sephardic Judaism mostly exists outside of that structure, and if you also separate out Jews who identify as Sephardic I'd guess around 55% D.

[Aurelius2]

Can't blame him for lack of subdivision of the Jewish vote given that we're only 2% of the population all lumped together, but it would be really interesting to see the secular/Reform/Conservative/Orthodox breakdown. I'd guess around 75% D secular, 70% D Reform, 60% D Conservative, and 30% D Orthodox (probably breaking down into around 50% D for Modern Orthodox and 20% D for Haredi). Sephardic Judaism mostly exists outside of that structure, and if you also separate out Jews who identify as Sephardic I'd guess around 55% D.

Aren't most Sephardim fairly conservative recent immigrants, or am I mistaken?

As an aside, there's an extremely old Sephardic community in Charleston which was until the early 1800s the largest Jewish community in the country. I had a teacher in Middle School who was actually a descendant of one of the founders of the first synagogue there.

Like you allude to regarding Charleston, the oldest Jewish communities in the US are actually Sephardic. The first Jews in the US were Sephardic arrivals as early as the 17th century, then some German Jews started coming in the mid-1800s. Then when pogroms ramped up in Eastern Europe at the end of the 1800s, the Eastern European Ashkenazis who make up the majority of American Jews to this day began arriving en masse.

A lot of what we think of as Jewish stereotypes and culture are really specifically Ashkenazi stereotypes and culture. AFAIK the strong leftward tilt of Jewish politics is more specifically an Ashkenazi thing; that's part of (but not the whole of) why I suspect Sephardim are a bit less left-leaning.

[Aurelius2]

Can't blame him for lack of subdivision of the Jewish vote given that we're only 2% of the population all lumped together, but it would be really interesting to see the secular/Reform/Conservative/Orthodox breakdown. I'd guess around 75% D secular, 70% D Reform, 60% D Conservative, and 30% D Orthodox (probably breaking down into around 50% D for Modern Orthodox and 20% D for Haredi). Sephardic Judaism mostly exists outside of that structure, and if you also separate out Jews who identify as Sephardic I'd guess around 55% D.

     A tweet in response to Ryan Burge actually talked about the breakdown among Jewish denominations:

https://twitter.com/rushinfive/status/1692555725766013120
     I don't know how well "no particular branch" tracks with secular Jews, but the split between Reform and Conservative on the one hand and Orthodox on the other is a bit wider than you had guessed. Overall pretty close though. I doubt I could be that accurate guessing voting splits among Orthodox Christian jurisdictions.

The fact that 'no particular branch' is *less* Dem than Reform makes me think it's a mix of seculars and Sephardim (though probably far more of the former than the latter).

I know that Iranian Jews are pretty Republican, and I imagine the same is true of other Mizrahi groups, but I'm not super familiar with Mizrahim so I couldn't tell you whether they follow Sephardi or Ashkenazi practices (Sephardi: all congregations are pretty traditional at the congregation itself but the members have the full spectrum of observantness in their day-to-day life, Ashkenazi: the familiar Reform/Conservative/Orthodox demarcations) or something else entirely.

I also wonder whether "Messianic Jews" were counted as Jews for the sake of the poll. I don't think there's many of them but I imagine they are overwhelmingly R, and even though  if they're going to self-identify as Jewish it's hard to screen them out of a survey like this regardless of the fact that they are universally considered to be Christians.