Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat

[ajc0918]

Tampa Bay Times poll:

Sink 42%
Jolly 35%
Overby 4%


Among Independents:
Sink 33%
Jolly 27%
Overby 9%

http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/national/poll-slight-lead-for-sink-over-jolly-in-pinellas-congressional-race/2165327

[ajc0918]

The turnout numbers seem so far seem to fit the Jolly "win" model (about 170K total votes cast), with about 140K so far, rather than the 200K number that favors Sink, so ...

What numbers are you using? At 4:30 the SOE announced 8.8% ED turnout with 27.5% EV/AB turnout for a total of 36.3%. There are 460,600 FL13 voters eligible, so approx. 167k have cast ballots so far.

I think it'll be close.

[ajc0918]

Absentee Votes:

David W. Jolly (REP)   59,950      
Alex Sink (DEM)   62,978      
Lucas Overby (LPF)   6,629      
WRITE-IN    262   

[ajc0918]

28 of 225 Precincts Reporting
        Percent   Votes
David W. Jolly (REP)      46.36%   63,054
Alex Sink (DEM)      48.38%   65,797
Lucas Overby (LPF)      5.07%   6,892
WRITE-IN      0.20%   270
             Total 136,013

[ajc0918]

Just got a robocall from the DCCC(I'm a FL13 voter) that asked what my main issues were when deciding my vote. I wonder if they're trying to form a platform for November based on FL13? They also asked my fav/unfav for each candidate.