A specific question is- What if Pat Toomey won the GOP primary in 2004- Would he have defeated Joe Hoeffell in the general election.
Hoeffell (D) : 54%
Toomey (R) : 45%
In 2004? Even I wasn't as generous towards Hoeffel. You have to remember there would have easily been thousands of Kerry-Toomey crossovers especially in the Lehigh Valley. I also think Toomey would have in fact hurt Bush even more in PA. You also have to remember Toomey has, and still hasn't, said anything as inflammatory as Santorum. He hasn't exactly pissed of Philadelphia suburban women en masse and blew a portion of his 1994/2000 bases.
As much as I don't agree with Toomey on a damn thing, I also can't underestimate him. He has won a swing district with some wiggle room despite such sharp right winged views.
Toomey had no shot though, I lived in PA during the 2004 election and listened to Toomey speak, my God.......I hated him back then.
I like him more now, but.....He'll lose to Specter
Specter (D): 53%Toomey (R) : 47%
And will get slaughtered by Sestak :
Sestak (D) : 58%Toomey (R) : 42%
The GOP Will not get squat in PA in 2010. The Governor's Mansion and the Senate race will stay Democrat by a margin of 5-8 points.
Rubio, would beat Meek :
Rubio (R) : 54%Meek (D) : 46%
Crist would sweep Florida :
Crist (R) : 57%Meek (D) : 43%
Also, I believe Santorum would fare better against Specter. But get demolished 70-30 to Sestak.
