What Democrat will run in Arizona in 2018? (user search)
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  What Democrat will run in Arizona in 2018? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What Democrat will run in Arizona in 2018?  (Read 2088 times)
The Arizonan
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Posts: 2,578
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« on: June 06, 2017, 03:36:27 PM »

Only plausible hope that would turn this into a tossup and could possibly beat Flake is Mark Kelly.

This is assuming that Jeff Flake doesn't lose the nomination to Kelli Ward.
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The Arizonan
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,578
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2017, 09:59:35 PM »

I am surprised by the lack of buzz around Ruben Gallego a Latino Iraq War vet seems like a good fit for rapidly diversifying Arizona.

Gallego will be viable statewide in Arizona once the Latino population becomes a high enough share of the statewide population and are fully mobilized as an electorate (i.e. the perfect storm that re-elected Reid in 2010). Until then he would struggle to hit 40% among this state's predominantly older and whiter electorate, especially the Mormon population.

One thing that makes Arizona difficult for Dems is that Phoenix (while still quite liberal) is one of the less liberal metro areas in the country. A Democrat with a base outside of the Phoenix area would be a stronger statewide candidate.

Phoenix has a slight Democratic lean, but the metropolitan area has a heavy Republican lean. Maricopa County has a heavy Republican lean and hasn't voted Democratic in a presidential election since 1948.
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