Should Romney be the nominee, rate the chances of a Romney win and the chances of an Obama win in 2012.
At this time, I would say
Romney 50/50
Obama 50/50
Right now it feels like it'd be a toss-up but it'd be affected by many variables still hard to predict now. Actually, if Romney is presumptive by January, I'd probably say many people will tune out for about 6 months or more. Easy to forget on a junkie board most people don't pay close attention. I'd basically ignore polls pre-... August? I think the advantages of incumbency largely vanish in a bad economy (at least) but in the end, I just don't see people buying what Romney is selling.
