PPP Ohio/Wisconsin poll preview

[Bull Moose Base]

I'll guess Gingrich is in double digits even with those bad favorables and Cain is not.  But I still think he'll drop out by this Fall.

[Bull Moose Base]

This out today?  My prediction would be Romney, Palin and if they polled them, Ryan and Walker, are clustered within a couple points near the top while Paul, Gingrich, Bachmann are low double digit range.  That'd be 7.  Pawlenty, I'd be surprised if he's known enough to be much higher than 10% if  that, even though he's been running for president for over a year and western Wisconsin gets Twin Cities media.  I don't think Cain has gotten enough exposure yet to poll doubles.  Maybe he's around 5%?

EDIT: I forgot Giuliani.  If they polled him, he's one of the double digits.

[Bull Moose Base]

Pawlenty, I'd be surprised if he's known enough to be much higher than 10% if  that, even though he's been running for president for over a year and western Wisconsin gets Twin Cities media.

Pawlenty was already at 10% in Wisconsin in February, in their last poll there (in the matchup without Ryan):

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=132956.0

Hm.  Well ppp is also tweeting that they polled only 8 candidates and only Huntsman got <10% (2%).  So probably Walker and Ryan were not polled and looks like I underestimated Pawlenty and Cain.

[Bull Moose Base]

This and Ohio should probably be on the primary poll baby boards.  

Big loser looks to be Pawlenty.  If Cain is up 7 on him, he can't really point to lack of familiarity with him as the explanation for the lack of enthusiasm for him.  Maybe this primary will end up more of a populist vs. establishment fight with Romney the latter and whoever of Cain, Bachmann and Palin outlasts the others as the Tea Party favorite.