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Quote from: The Economist on February 05, 2011, 04:38:02 PM

Iowa: Palin
New Hampshire: Romney
South Carolina: Romney
Florida: Romney
Nevada: Thune.

Romney takes the nomination easily.

Thune Nevada? If Florida doesn't move it's primary date, IA, NH and SC will move up to January but it's not clear whether Nevada will. It may then come after Super Tuesday, in which case, Thune will probably have to have won some other states to still be running.

But I second the tacit sentiment in your post that there's no value in polling later states

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