405-126
FDR does much better then Smith in the southern states due to his protestant religion, but loses overwhelmingly in Catholic Massachusetts and Rhode Island, which were both won by Smith by one percent. So, it ends up still being a Hoover landslide in the Republican Twenties.
Since FDR is from NY, I was thinking he might win there. Smith was from there and he only lsot the state by 2%. Since FDR was more charismatic than Smith, he might have pulled off a win in NY.
I doubt it. Political charisma meant far less in 1928 then it does now. Plus, with Smith off the ticket, Catholics in New York would be more receptive to the Republican Party, which also would have assisted them.
FDR actually came reasonably close to losing New York several times OTL.
Yeah in 1940 FDR won New York by only 224,440 votes.....against Wendell Willkie.