Which counties in swing states will trend GOP for 2012? (user search)
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  Which counties in swing states will trend GOP for 2012? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which counties in swing states will trend GOP for 2012?  (Read 1575 times)
5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« on: October 08, 2011, 12:04:21 AM »

For the 2012 election, which counties in the swing states (CO, FL, NC, NH, NV, OH, VA) will trend GOP?  And which ones should be watched closely during the election night that will make or break for either candidate?
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5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2011, 12:11:28 AM »
« Edited: October 08, 2011, 12:24:59 AM by MagneticFree »

I'll start the thread...

Was going to say Arapahoe county, however I think that Arapahoe county is gone from the GOP but hard to say. With the new development going on in the southeast part of Aurora it may be a close one to watch.

Weld county is growing rapidly in the 2000s, but has a large agricultural community.  Has alot of Hispanics (Greeley) but not enough to make a big impact.

Adams county has a growing Hispanic community in south Thornton and unicorporated.  Commerce City near Reunion has new development homes that balances out however.

Denver and Boulder county are DEM strongholds, so that's off the table.  Douglas and Elbert county are strong GOP.

Jefferson county may swing GOP, but it's 50/50 with Golden and that city isn't exactly GOP friendly. The southern part of Jeffco is nothing like Golden and votes like Douglas county.

Not sure about Broomfield county...

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5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2011, 07:18:39 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2011, 07:20:44 PM by MagneticFree »

Something tells me that Jefferson county will go GOP near the end in 2012 and Arapahoe will be the one to watch overnight. Maybe a possible recount. Broomfield county will be a slim GOP win.

Like I say, this is all speculation as anything can happen.
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