JLT's House Predictin' Thread 2010

[Vepres]

Personally I see CO-3 flipping before CO-7, as the former still has strong Republican areas, while CO-7 has trended to the left significantly since its creation. However, both have popular incumbents who really fit their districts, so either way it would take a lot to flip either.

[Vepres]

Personally I see CO-3 flipping before CO-7, as the former still has strong Republican areas, while CO-7 has trended to the left significantly since its creation. However, both have popular incumbents who really fit their districts, so either way it would take a lot to flip either.

Frazier has raised more money and seems like a better candidate all-around. Other than that I don't see much difference.

Remember that Salazar voted for healthcare, despite being a blue doge, and that McCain was able to squeak out a victory there.  That's basically why I view it as more competitive, but of course, I'm not looking in-depth at the candidates and their fundraising and such.

[Vepres]

But the GOP already in that respect is bought, and can be bought once they are in office. Keeping the Democrats bought and not heading off in a populist direction is far more important at this point.

Heh, the Democrats are bought and paid for too. I once heard a quote, don't remember who said it, that 90% of Republicans were bought, compared to only 60% of Democrats

But seriously (not that the above wasn't serious ), I imagine most of the "special interests" (I use that term very broadly) focused very little on the Republicans the past four years or so, given that they were largely irrelevant. Thus, when the tide turned in favor of Republicans, they have to ensure that they're in their pockets if they should take back either or both houses of congress.

Wow, that was one cynical post!

[Vepres]

FWIW, Cook has moved NY-25 into the lean category.