UT Sen 2022: McMullin vs. Lee

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

I feel like the smarter play for him would be to pick the Congress district that's his best potential one to run against a Republican incumbent. It'd be helpful to him if the Republican was a raging Trumper, but that's not Mike Lee, and it's not Mitt Romney either.

Lee voted against certification, I believe. He's a pig.

You sound deeply unprepared for the rest of your life.

I just question that Mike Lee isn't a Trumper when he was one of just a handful of senators to object. I also find the comparison to Mitt Romney - an actual courageous FF and patriot - outrageous, since he had the spine to vote to convict and Lee didn't even have the spine to vote to certify.

EDIT: And...that post just got deleted....

Mike Lee didn't vote to object.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/JennyWilsonUT/status/1500937363953836032
wow Ben Mcadams and Jenny Wilson Backing Mcmuffin now you gotta wonder if the D's are gonna be pressured to drop out

Especially since the likely D candidate is a Lincoln Project founder who has essentially the same centrist positions as McMuffin.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Why is he running as an independent? Why not try a primary challenge?

Because he has a 0.1% chance winning the general as an independent by having all the dem votes + moderate Republicans, whereas he would have had a 0% chance of primarying Lee.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Why is he running as an independent? Why not try a primary challenge?

Because he has a 0.1% chance winning the general as an independent by having all the dem votes + moderate Republicans, whereas he would have had a 0% chance of primarying Lee.

I mean, Joe Lieberman did this exact strategy in 2006 when Ned Lamont defeated him in the Senate primary, he ran under the "Connecticut for Lieberman" party and won with 49% of the vote to Lamont's 39% and the Republican's 9%

But McMullin needs to win like, the endorsement of Mitt Romney, or something like that, in order to win in Utah. Otherwise he risks being a spoiler candidate.

A spoiler candidate for who? The dem would not have won no matter the scenario

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

I still think Mike Lee wins in November, but having McMullin in the Senate would be very interesting. He would prolly functionally be a pretty reliable R vote on most things but with notable opposition to their rhetoric, similar to Romney just more socially progressive ig.

Utah is very much politically homeless rn.

Idk if it's just to appeal to democrats, but McMullin has basically campaigned as a moderate D this cycle, unlike in 2016 when he was a right-leaning independent.