Polling keeps suggesting things that haven’t showed up in election results.
In 2020, polling suggested Hispanics swinging right and in 2018 we saw some signs of that with places like Miami and RGV swinging right.
However in 2024, polling suggests many Republican favorable swings - Black and Hispanic voters swinging hard right, young voters becoming a competitive demographic. None of these have even remotely shown up in any actual election results in 2022 or 2023. It would be really strange for black voters to suddenly go to like 75-20 after voting ~90% for Dems in 2022
The polls show downballot Democrats getting normal support with the groups Biden is struggling with.
