Just for the fun of it, I looked at my list I posted in late October, with the results. First, I double counted two GOP gain seats (that is where the question marks are), so my prediction was really 61 seats, not 63 seats. So I counted as GOP, 8 seats that went Dem, and as Dem, 10 seats that went GOP. The errors were mostly generated by being off a bit on relative regional strength (GOP lagging in CT, OR, and really lagging in CA and NC, and GOP stronger in NY, MI, NH and OH).
TN 6 13 R 1 1
LA 3 12 R 1 2
IN 8 8 R 2 3
FL 2 6 R 2 4
AR 2 5 R 2 5
NY 29 5 R 2 6
MS 1 14 R 3 7
GA 8 10 R 3 8
AR 1 8 R 3 9
CO 4 6 R 3 10
TN 8 6 R 3 11
PA 3 3 R 3 12
FL 8 2 R 3 13
TX 17 20 R 4 14
ND 1 13 R 4 15
SC 5 7 R 4 16
CO 3 5 R 4 17
VA 5 5 R 4 18
FL 24 4 R 4 19
OH 16 4 R 4 20
KS 3 3 R 4 21
OH 1 1 D 4 22
OH 15 1 D 4 23
MS 4 20 R 5 24
AL 2 13 R 5 25
TN 4 13 R 5 26
ND AL 10 R 5 27
SD AL 9 R 5 28
PA 10 8 R 5 29
OH 18 7 R 5 30
IN 9 6 R 5 31
AZ 5 5 R 5 32
VA 2 5 R 5 33
TX 23 4 R 5 34
MI 1 3 R 5 35
NY 20 2 R 5 36
D CA 11 1 R 5 37
IL 11 1 R 5 38
IL 14 1 R 5 39
NJ 3 1 R 5 40
WA 3 0 D 5 41
NH 1 0 D 5 42
FL 22 1 D 5 43
GA 2 1 D 5 44
NV 3 2 D 5 45
IL 17 3 D 5 46
WI 7 3 D 5 47
D CA 20 5 D 5 48
NC 2 2 R 5 49
VA 9 11 R 5.4 50
NM 2 5 R 5.4 51
D NC 7 5 R 5.4 52
D AZ 8 4 R 5.4 53
NY 19 3 R 5.4 54
D IN 2 2 R 5.4 55
? NC 2 2 R 5.4 56
WI 8 2 R 5.4 57
D NC 8 2 R 5.4 58
NY 23 1 R 5.4 59
D OR 5 1 D 5.4 60
D CT 5 2 D 5.4 61
PA 8 2 D 5.4 62
PA 7 3 D 5.4 63
PA 11 4 D 5.4 64
? NM 2 6 D 5.4 65
WV 1 9 R 5.5 66
NC 11 6 R 5.5 67
R ID 1 18 R 5.6 68
R MO 4 14 R 5.6 69
R NY 13 4 R 5.6 70
R MI 7 2 R 5.6 71
R NY 24 2 R 5.6 72
R OH 6 2 R 5.6 73
NY 1 0 D 5.6 74
MI 9 2 D 5.6 75
VA 11 2 D 5.6 76
R MN 8 3 D 5.6 77
R NH 2 3 D 5.6 78
CO 7 4 D 5.6 79
CT 4 5 D 5.6 80
MA 10 5 D 5.6 81
WA 9 5 D 5.6 82
AZ 7 6 D 5.6 83
ME 1 8 D 5.6 84
KY 6 9 R 6 85
PA 4 6 R 6 86
R TX 27 2 R 6 87
MN 1 1 R 6 88
PA 12 1 R 6 89
IA 3 1 D 6 90
KY 3 2 D 6 91
OR 4 2 D 6 92
IL 12 3 D 6 93
ME 2 3 D 6 94
R NY 25 3 D 6 95
WA 2 3 D 6 96
CA 18 4 D 6 97
CA 47 4 D 6 98
WI 3 4 D 6 99
IA 1 5 D 6 100
NJ 12 5 D 6 101
MO 3 7 D 6 102
NM 3 7 D 6 103
RI 1 13 D 6 104
OK, I'm a bit dense. Please help with the table headings. Obviously, the first column is state, the second is CD#. Many thanks.
