MA Senate - Special Election Results thread (user search)
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  MA Senate - Special Election Results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: MA Senate - Special Election Results thread  (Read 84262 times)
rbt48
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« on: January 20, 2010, 09:31:51 PM »

I don't think the Republicans should get too worked up about gaining a House seat, not only are special elections quite different from general elections, but this was just one race (and involved a poor Democratic campaign) so it is not a given Mass. will continue to trend GOP.
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Well, it is probably unlikely that Republicans will win a single house seat this year in MA, unless a vacancy happens to occur, I would agree.  But, consider this.  If a Democrat won a special Senate election in Louisiana 52-47 and carried 4 of 7 districts, I would guess that Democrats might get a tad excited about their prospects for the fall elections.
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rbt48
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2010, 10:22:48 AM »

cinyc,

I misread your chart. The second to last column looked like swing/trend since the difference between the two was similar to the projected swings discussed yesterday as a parameter for a Brown victory. MA-8 having the lowest swing and MA-3 having the highest makes more sense.


Well, it is probably unlikely that Republicans will win a single house seat this year in MA, unless a vacancy happens to occur, I would agree.  But, consider this.  If a Democrat won a special Senate election in Louisiana 52-47 and carried 4 of 7 districts, I would guess that Democrats might get a tad excited about their prospects for the fall elections.

Perhaps, but keep in mind that Louisiana has a history of electing Democratic Senators--in fact every election the past 100 years except Vitter in 2004.

True enough.  But in today's Louisiana, I think that Democrats would be hopeful were this to happen.  Also, in any of her wins, I have to wonder if Landrieu topped 50% in any CD but the New Orleans 2nd.
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rbt48
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2010, 11:14:47 PM »

So when will Brown be sworn in?  What is the deal with the SoS certifying his election?  Is it going to be a 3 week process?

I know, too many questions.
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rbt48
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« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2010, 02:29:31 PM »

Does anyone know when Brown will be sworn in office?
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