2023 Chicago Mayoral/Aldermanic Elections

[oldtimer]

I think this should be put into the "Election Type Events" category.

[oldtimer]

This is important less for its direct impact on voters and more as, in essence, a free pass for any Democratic politicians or institutions to line up behind Vallas. If Jesse White's doing it, it's okay for everyone else to do it.

Most Democratic pols were always going to get behind Vallas, no matter what Jessie White did. It is notable in that it sets the tone for Black lawmakers. I expect Bobby Rush to do the same.

The Daley Dynasty runs strong behind Vallas

[oldtimer]

Illinois will be down to 16 or 17 EV’s in 2032, and Brandon Johnson will probably finish 2rd or 4th in the 2027 Mayoral race, only to be replaced by a literal communist.

Those thoughts have some merits.

As Chicago shrinks (you don't live in Chicago, you leave Chicago), Illinois has gradually become more Republican on average, but the pace is so glacial that it will take a decade for it to be competitive.

As for fast shrinking cities becoming more radical because any opposing voter simply leaves, well there is Detroit as an example.

[oldtimer]

Fun fact: Chicago gained population as of the 2020 census

I doubt the 2020 census was accurate given the chaotic circumstances at that time.

So I'll wait for the 2030 census to see.