McCain vs. Obama 2008, with a strong economy. (user search)
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  McCain vs. Obama 2008, with a strong economy. (search mode)
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Author Topic: McCain vs. Obama 2008, with a strong economy.  (Read 2623 times)
Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
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« on: April 06, 2010, 03:15:59 PM »

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Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
Libertas
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,899
Finland


« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2010, 12:01:31 PM »

Strong economy or not, the Republicans were going to lose in '08. I mean, look at our recent federal election in 2007. The Australian economy was going gangbusters; unemployment at 33 year lows, inflation at 2-3%, etc and yet Rudd still managed to win comprehensively. So, in spite of the specifications of the scenario, Obama would win, albeit by a smaller margin. Maybe 291-247 or there abouts.


I'm not sure If I follow, you mean even if the economy was as good as I projected? I can see an Obama victory, but I can't make it out (despite Sarah Palin) to be predestined that the Republicans were going to lose, especially with a candidate as 'strong' as McCain.

Admittedly, though, I know very little about Australian politics.

Yeah, I don't quite get Conor's logic either. If the economy was booming, its highly doubtful that the Republicans would be predestined to lose.
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Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
Libertas
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,899
Finland


« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2010, 09:28:07 PM »

Strong economy or not, the Republicans were going to lose in '08. I mean, look at our recent federal election in 2007. The Australian economy was going gangbusters; unemployment at 33 year lows, inflation at 2-3%, etc and yet Rudd still managed to win comprehensively. So, in spite of the specifications of the scenario, Obama would win, albeit by a smaller margin. Maybe 291-247 or there abouts.


I'm not sure If I follow, you mean even if the economy was as good as I projected? I can see an Obama victory, but I can't make it out (despite Sarah Palin) to be predestined that the Republicans were going to lose, especially with a candidate as 'strong' as McCain.

Admittedly, though, I know very little about Australian politics.

Yeah, I don't quite get Conor's logic either. If the economy was booming, its highly doubtful that the Republicans would be predestined to lose.

Yeah because the strong economy saved the Democrats in 1968..........

Uh, 2008 compares to 1968 how exactly?
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Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
Libertas
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,899
Finland


« Reply #3 on: April 10, 2010, 03:08:37 AM »

Strong economy or not, the Republicans were going to lose in '08. I mean, look at our recent federal election in 2007. The Australian economy was going gangbusters; unemployment at 33 year lows, inflation at 2-3%, etc and yet Rudd still managed to win comprehensively. So, in spite of the specifications of the scenario, Obama would win, albeit by a smaller margin. Maybe 291-247 or there abouts.


I'm not sure If I follow, you mean even if the economy was as good as I projected? I can see an Obama victory, but I can't make it out (despite Sarah Palin) to be predestined that the Republicans were going to lose, especially with a candidate as 'strong' as McCain.

Admittedly, though, I know very little about Australian politics.

Yeah, I don't quite get Conor's logic either. If the economy was booming, its highly doubtful that the Republicans would be predestined to lose.

Yeah because the strong economy saved the Democrats in 1968..........

Uh, 2008 compares to 1968 how exactly?

In this scenario....economy.
You imply that a booming economy means it is highly unlikely a candidate will lose, but give conditions like a war that most of the people hate then they could get voted out of office.
I don't recall the OP of this scenario saying that the people liked the War in Iraq or even if they liked George Bush.  Despite the economy in 1968 enough people were sick of Johnson to vote for Nixon.

McCain was on his way to winning the race even with a mediocre economy. It was only when things became catastrophic that voters abandoned him in droves. With a booming economy, Obama would be the definite underdog.
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