What is the best reason to doubt current polling? (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  What is the best reason to doubt current polling? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What is the best reason to doubt current polling?  (Read 423 times)
Umengus
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Posts: 2,510
Belgium


« on: May 13, 2024, 08:48:08 AM »

As I said the other day, Biden looks on track to be the Biggest Loser in presidential general elections in decades, which isn’t a category of Biggest Loser that you want to win. Of course, it’s entirely possible that it only LOOKS that way. In your view, what is the best argument that this may only be an illusion?

In my view, it’s special elections. It seems that Democrats are doing pretty well in them. If Biden is so toxic that he’s dragging down other Democrats, why are state-level Dems doing fine?

turnout will be quite different, at the advantage of Trump. And last november election in VA was not bad for GOP.
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