PPP Wisconsin Obama 49-Romney 48

[Umengus]

Party IDs for Wisconsin:

2008: D+6
2010: D+1
2012 recall: R+1

This poll: R+4

Make of that what you will.

and in 2004 ?

[Umengus]

Considering this poll, it seems that the dem base is not so motivated...

[Umengus]

With OH trending away, WI has become central to Romney's main strategy to 270...winning NC, FL, VA, CO, IA and WI gets him to 273 (leaving no margin for error). So I expect them to put a big effort into winning it.

As there seems to be some debates on the merits of this one maybe NBC Marist will add some info later this week. They are doing 3 more swing states this week, hopefully WI is this week. If not they will do it next week.

Ohio is not trending away...

[Umengus]

Does anyone think both new PPP polls are accurate? Obama +5 in VA and +1 in WI?  That would be a huge swing divergence between the two states vs. 2008. 

I would give Va +1 and WI +5 for Obama