NC-PPP: Obama now leads Romney by 3 (user search)
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  NC-PPP: Obama now leads Romney by 3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-PPP: Obama now leads Romney by 3  (Read 1672 times)
Umengus
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,508
Belgium


« on: August 11, 2011, 02:24:04 PM »

sample is D + 13...

Gallup party id amongst NC adult population is D + 4

Garbage poll...
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Umengus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,508
Belgium


« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2011, 06:39:05 AM »
« Edited: August 13, 2011, 06:45:23 AM by Umengus »

sample is D + 13...

Gallup party id amongst NC adult population is D + 4

Garbage poll...

LOL.

You think this is a garbage poll by quoting another garbage poll ?

This sample is exactly what the current NC voter registration looks like.

PPP knows pretty well how to poll their home state, just look at their polls from there.

do you know the NC 2004 and 2008 exit polls to decide between the 2?


I don't like gallup poll but the party id of others states is generally good. And some republicans voters are registered democrats because they have changed their mind, but not their registration...
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Umengus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,508
Belgium


« Reply #2 on: August 13, 2011, 06:54:45 AM »

What is garbage is the notion that any poll showing Republicans trailing is incorrect. Anyone who knows anything about polling knows that the top line isn't really padded by the sample, since PPP doesn't call people based partisan ID, they only ask the question.

lol

I remember a VA PPP poll in 2009, after the thesis controversy, showing McDonnell falling (compared to their last poll). In fact, his decline was 100 % due to the greater proportion of democrats in their poll than previous... It was an outlier (wanted or not). In the next poll, with proportion of democrats declining,  MCDonnell comes back to his previous advantage and destroyed his opponent in november. Of course, the story was: thesis controversy hits Mcdonnell. Poll proves it.
PPP is a democratic and a partisan firm, ready to make push polls and others... but not stupid to lose credibility giving a fake LAST poll result.
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