Mr. Ukucasha
Jr. Member
Posts: 425
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« on: January 19, 2023, 05:22:36 PM » |
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« edited: January 19, 2023, 05:40:59 PM by Mr. Ukucasha »
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EDIT: In case you are feeling too lazy to read the entire OP, please at least read the tl;dr version in the post immediately following this one. However, I strongly recommend reading the OP instead.
Don't get me wrong: FDR did not do Pearl Harbor nor did he have prior knowledge of the attack. I am merely presenting a hypothetical scenario in this thought experiment.
Anyway, imagine it is 1941 and you are POTUS. It is rumored among many members of the American public that Jews are being murdered en masse in German-occupied territories, but these are just rumors and many don't believe them. However, as POTUS, you have been provided with undeniable evidence that Jews of all backgrounds, including babies, are being killed in at least the tens to hundreds of thousands* in German-occupied territories just for being ethnically Jewish, possibly with the ultimate goal of annihilating the Jewish race completely from Europe. This seems especially believable to you considering that Hitler publicly and on camera alluded to the "annihilation of the Jewish race from Europe!" if a second world war broke out in a speech to the Reichstag in 1939. Watching this speech in 1939, you thought he was speaking metaphorically, but the recent reports you have received reveal that he likely meant it literally. Additionally, you have also been provided with undeniable evidence proving Japan's atrocities and crimes against humanity.
However, US entry into the war is generally unpopular among the American public. The overwhelming public sentiment is "Japan/Germany haven't attacked us, so we have no right to attack them!" The US is already sending the Allies billions and billions of dollars of aid through the Lend-Lease Act. While I am unsure whether Congress would have approved US entry into WWII without Pearl Harbor, for the sake of this thought experiment, let's assume that they would not.
In real life, Japan attacked Pearl Harbor and then declared war on the US, followed by the US declaring war on Japan. In spite of the fact that the US did not declare war on Germany nor was Germany obliged to join the Japanese in their fight, for some bizarre reason Germany declared war on the US shortly after the US declared war on Japan. Let's assume in this scenario things turn out a bit differently:
In this scenario, neither Japan nor Germany have plans to attack the US. One of your advisors develops an extensive plan to stage a mass attack on Pearl Harbor and blame it on Japan and Germany. This plan has been so well thought out, elaborated, and detailed that there is virtually a 100% chance of success in framing Japan and Germany for the attack. Initially, you suggest staging an incident where the US successfully thwarts a planned (fake) attack by the Japanese and Germans and using that as a pretext to enter the war instead, but your advisors inform you that unless the attack causes tangible harm, it is unlikely to generate the emotional response necessary to convince the staunchly isolationist American public and Congressmen to support US entry. Moreover, if the US blames Germany and Japan for an attack they did not commit, they would probably still accept credit for the attack, since they are all too eager for the US to officially join the war so they can do things like attack US fleets that are sending essential lend-lease assistance to the Allies.
Without an attack, there is no way Congress approves a declaration of war. Although Japan and Germany want the US in the war for the reasons mentioned above, they have no plans to attack the US any time soon. By killing thousands, you could save millions and millions of lives. It is likely that the Allies would have won the war without the US, but it would have taken many, many, many more years and resulted in the death of tens of millions of more people, not to mention Soviet domination of Europe that would follow!
Wouldn't staging a fake attack be the moral thing to do in this scenario? Wouldn't it be more immoral not to attack Pearl Harbor and then blame it on Japan and Germany? It seems pretty evil to just let millions and millions of people die.
At the same time, as POTUS, you have an obligation to protect your constituents above all else. It would also be immoral to kill thousands of your own people and lie to the public to enter the war. Additionally, it may not have been so clear at the time how much US entry would help end the atrocities.
Without hindsight, would you agree to this proposal?
*It is 1941, so the number of killings is in the tens to hundreds of thousands (mostly through Einsatzgruppen). It did not reach the millions until 1942, the height of the Holocaust.
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