Democrats have a big Senate problem

[GeekTalk999]

Whichever way you look at it, post 2022 Democrats are royally screwed in the Senate.  The 2024 map is unwinnable for them even if it was a blue wave year - and 2026 offers little opportunity for enough pickups to get anywhere near a majority even in a best case scenario for them - a 60+ red senate in the next 2-4 years is pretty plausible even if Democrats won 49-51% of the vote nationally.  This is mostly down to the current Democratic coalition which may be enough to win the House/electoral collage when you have high Democrat turnout, but in the senate runs into structural barriers because of the white/rural bias of the Senate.  Assuming the Democratic coalition doesn’t adapt and change dramatically, my question is after this term or next (if they keep the senate in 2022), we know it’ll be Republican by 2024 - so when do you see Democrats being able to take the senate again and how?  Can’t see a path for them.  I doubt it’ll become a permanently Republican body but they look set to have a lock on the chamber as far ahead as you can look post-2024.